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KNVB Beker
Referee: R Gansner
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFC Oostzaan Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
8,0
3,3
Scored
6,0
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hercules 3 2 0 1 +4 6
2 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 ADO '20 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 URK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Sportlust '46 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Staphorst 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Kozakken Boys 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Hoek 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 OFC Oostzaan 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Blauw Geel 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 DVS 33 Ermelo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Groningen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Cambuur 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 HV & CV Quick 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 De Graafschap 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Den Bosch 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Go Ahead Eagles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Dongen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 NAC Breda 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Groene Ster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 GVVV Veenendaal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Rijnvogels 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 AFC Amsterdam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Hsc 21 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 RKAV Volendam 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 SVV Scheveningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 GVV Unitas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 DEM 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Harkemase Boys 2 0 1 1 -4 1
47 VVOG 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 OJC Rosmalen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 ASWH 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Gemert 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 OSS '20 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Excelsior Maassluis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Dovo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 ACV 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Sparta Nijkerk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Koninklijke HFC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 JOS Watergraafsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Noordwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Barendrecht 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 FC OSS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 FC Lisse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 UDI '19 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Ter Leede 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 MVV 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Baronie 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFC Oostzaan Sparta Rotterdam
3′
J. Lokilo 0–1
M. Tahiri
19′
🟨 S. Sambo
1–1 N. Butter
19′
M. Frimpong 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ P. Brouwer
46′
🔁 A. Verschueren
↦ M. Tahiri
D. Baly 🟨
64′
70′
🔁 T. Lauritsen
↦ A. Drakpe
70′
🔁 V. van Crooij
↦ K. Saito
D. Walberg 🟨
75′
D. Prijor 🔁
↦ D. Walberg
77′
82′
T. Lauritsen 1–2
M. Engels
S. Reclaoui 🔁
↦ M. Frimpong
84′
85′
T. Lauritsen 1–3
S. Sambo
D. Wijdenbosch 🔁
↦ R. Burger
87′
87′
🔁 J. Meerstadt
↦ M. Eerdhuijzen
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

OFC Oostzaan

1 I. Bouwman
24 A. Haddad
3 D. Bäly
23 V. van der Linde
25 N. van den Heuvel
5 M. Frimpong
9 N. Butter
20 M. Veerman
14 R. Burger
19 D. Walberg
8 F. Belarbi
Bench (9)
16 D. Prijor
11 S. Reclaoui
17 D. Wijdenbosch
78 K. Hilverink
18 N. Springer
15 M. Bare
2 Antonio Pellitero Díaz
12 D. Agyei
21 G. Prijor

Coach: P. Mulders

Sparta Rotterdam

1 D. van Crooij
5 A. Meijers
6 J. van Mullem
2 S. Sambo
4 M. Eerdhuijzen
3 A. Drakpe
7 J. Lokilo
10 K. Saito
8 P. Brouwer
9 M. Engels
11 M. Tahiri
Bench (10)
14 S. Mijnans
18 A. Verschueren
19 T. Lauritsen
17 V. van Crooij
16 J. Meerstadt
13 B. Vriends
30 I. Kort
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
12 D. van Wageningen
15 G. Overman

Coach: M. Steijn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.