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Puchar Polski

Referee: M Złotnicki

Pogoń Siedlce

S S

3–1

Full-time

Chrobry Głogów

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogoń Siedlce Chrobry Głogów

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

This season — Puchar Polski · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,5

4,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogoń Siedlce 6. · Chrobry Głogów 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Kalisz	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Wisla	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Górnik Łęczna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogoń Siedlce Chrobry Głogów

1–0 D. Nowak ⚽

15′

2–0 C. Demianiuk ⚽

25′

28′

🟨 M. Machaj

J. Sinior 🟨

30′

C. Demianiuk 🟨

33′

42′

🟨 O. Praznovsky

Half-time 2–0

T. Lewandowski 🟨

46′

🔁 M. Bochnak

↦ P. Kusztal

46′

🔁 M. Jóźwiak

↦ D. Hanc

46′

🔁 R. Mandrysz

↦ O. Práznovský

46′

🔁 S. Steblecki

↦ K. Wojtyra

K. Wlodyka 🟨

60′

71′

🔁 M. Bougaidis

↦ M. Machaj

D. Szuprytowski 🔁

↦ K. Włodyka

74′

Marcinho 🔁

↦ C. Bujalski

74′

3–0 D. Nowak ⚽

80′

82′

🟨 P. Mucha

M. Grochowski 🔁

↦ B. Wicenciak

84′

S. Mucha 🔁

↦ D. Nowak

88′

M. Rutkowski 🟨

97′

98′

⚽ S. Steblecki 3–1

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Pogoń Siedlce

J. Kowynia

T. Lewandowski

J. Sinior

M. Rutkowski

M. Kołoczek

K. Włodyka

N. Fiedosewicz

B. Wicenciak

C. Demianiuk

D. Nowak

C. Bujalski

Bench (8)

D. Szuprytowski

Marcinho

M. Grochowski

S. Mucha

D. Smug

K. Miś

M. Kikolski

P. Misiak

Coach: D. Guzek

Chrobry Głogów

D. Węglarz

O. Práznovský

M. Michalec

A. Bogusz

J. Kuzdra

M. Machaj

P. Mucha

P. Kusztal

D. Hanc

K. Wojtyra

R. Wolsztyński

Bench (9)

M. Bochnak

M. Jóźwiak

R. Mandrysz

S. Steblecki

M. Bougaidis

A. Zarówny

E. Pieczarka

J. Górski

K. Dybowski

Coach: M. Gołębiewski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

Pogoń Siedlce

Chojniczanka Chojnice

27. Jul CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Pogoń Siedlce

Chrobry Głogów

Odds comparison

Recent matches