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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
2–2
Full-time
Vitesse
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 23%
23%
23%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
38%
77%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 12
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 12. · Vitesse 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 14 10 3 1 +22 33
2 Ajax 14 9 3 2 +27 30
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 0 4 +22 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 14 9 2 3 +9 29
5 Twente 12 8 2 2 +16 26
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 +11 23
7 Utrecht 13 6 3 4 +0 21
8 Heerenveen 13 5 5 3 +2 20
9 Nijmegen 14 3 8 3 +3 17
10 Waalwijk 14 4 5 5 -3 17
11 For Sittard 14 4 3 7 -7 15
12 Go Ahead Eagles 13 3 5 5 -3 14
13 Excelsior 14 4 1 9 -21 13
14 Groningen 14 3 3 8 -12 12
15 Vitesse 13 3 3 7 -13 12
16 FC Emmen 14 2 5 7 -14 11
17 Cambuur 14 2 2 10 -13 8
18 Volendam 14 1 3 10 -26 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Vitesse
7′
🟨 Ryan Flamingo
1–0 P. Rommens
8′
2–0 P. Rommens
20′
Half-time 2–1
49′
M. Bero 2–1
M. Wittek
60′
🟨 Sondre Tronstad
62′
🟨 Maximilian Wittek
64′
🟨 Kacper Kozłowski
67′
🔁 N. Frederiksen
↦ M. Manhoef
67′
🔁 T. Hájek
↦ G. Vidović
67′
🔁 S. van Duivenbooden
↦ R. Yapi
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
70′
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
70′
G. Nauber 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
81′
Enric Llansana 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 M. Jonathans
↦ C. Arcus
S. Sow 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
89′
90′
🟨 Miliano Jonathans
92′
🟨 Matúš Bero
93′
S. van Duivenbooden 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
25 J. Amofa D
6 J. Idzes D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
18 W. Willumsson M
11 B. Adekanye M
23 O. Edvardsen M
9 I. Lidberg F
Bench (12)
27 F. Stokkers
21 E. Llansana
3 G. Nauber
19 S. Sow
15 T. Tekie
4 José Fontán
40 L. Plogmann
17 M. Berden
24 J. Markelo
7 R. Fernandes
16 S. Jansen
26 J. Bakker

Coach: R. Hake

Vitesse

4-2-3-1
33 D. Reiziger G
2 C. Arcus D
3 R. Flamingo D
13 E. Cornelisse D
32 M. Wittek D
17 K. Kozłowski M
8 S. Tronstad M
27 R. Yapi M
21 M. Bero M
42 M. Manhoef M
10 G. Vidović F
Bench (12)
11 N. Frederiksen
18 T. Hájek
53 S. van Duivenbooden
26 M. Jonathans
25 G. de Regt
16 K. Scherpen
5 Ferro
35 M. Dijks
29 T. Buitink
22 T. Domgjoni
9 M. Sankoh
24 J. Houwen

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,46
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.