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Eredivisie
Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf
1–4
Full-time
Heracles
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
3,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
21%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
52%
69%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

38% Possession 62%
14 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 12
5 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · Heracles 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 29 23 3 3 +58 72
2 Ajax 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 PSV Eindhoven 29 19 8 2 +36 65
4 Vitesse 30 14 6 10 +12 48
5 Utrecht 26 13 7 6 +12 46
6 Twente 29 11 9 9 +2 42
7 Heerenveen 28 11 6 11 +8 39
8 AZ Alkmaar 26 9 11 6 +5 38
9 Heracles 29 9 7 13 -7 34
10 Willem II 29 8 9 12 -8 33
11 Zwolle 29 8 7 14 -21 31
12 Den Haag 30 9 4 17 -22 31
13 Groningen 28 6 11 11 -5 29
14 Sparta Rotterdam 30 7 7 16 -19 28
15 Excelsior 30 6 10 14 -19 28
16 Nijmegen 30 7 7 16 -26 28
17 Roda 29 5 11 13 -24 26
18 Go Ahead Eagles 29 6 5 18 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Heracles
Elvis Manu 🟥
12′
13′
T. Bruns 0–1
16′
S. Armenteros 0–2
21′
K. Peterson 0–3
R. Gosens
1–3 D. Crowley
22′
Sander Fischer 🟨
43′
43′
S. Armenteros 1–4
Half-time 1–4
J. Suk 🔁
↦ S. Duits
46′
46′
🔁 J. Navrátil
↦ B. Kuwas
58′
🔁 B. Darri
↦ T. Bruns
L. Marengo 🔁
↦ J. Antonia
67′
72′
🟨 Justin Hoogma
Pedro Chirivella 🟨
74′
85′
🔁 S. Thomas
↦ J. Pelupessy
J. Groenbast 🔁
↦ S. Locigno
86′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
17 S. Locigno D
4 X. Schenk D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
28 E. Manu F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (8)
8 J. Suk
11 L. Marengo
32 J. Groenbast
5 L. Rexhepi
9 L. de Kogel
13 E. Cummins
23 N. Nieveld
35 R. Achenteh

Coach: R. Maaskant

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 M. te Wierik D
27 J. Hoogma D
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
21 R. Gosens M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 S. Armenteros F
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (7)
15 J. Navrátil
7 B. Darri
26 S. Thomas
25 R. Fij
28 M. Brouwer
30 T. van de Berg
31 M. de Kler

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.