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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Vitesse
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 42%
20%
64%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
68%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,6
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 14. · PSV Eindhoven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 26 18 7 1 +34 61
2 Ajax 26 16 7 3 +44 55
3 AZ Alkmaar 25 16 5 4 +23 53
4 PSV Eindhoven 25 16 4 5 +36 52
5 Sparta Rotterdam 23 13 6 4 +19 45
6 Twente 22 12 6 4 +22 42
7 Nijmegen 26 7 13 6 +9 34
8 Waalwijk 25 8 8 9 +0 32
9 Utrecht 24 8 8 8 -4 32
10 Heerenveen 24 8 6 10 -6 30
11 Go Ahead Eagles 25 7 8 10 -8 29
12 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -14 29
13 Volendam 26 7 5 14 -25 26
14 Vitesse 25 5 8 12 -16 23
15 Excelsior 26 7 2 17 -36 23
16 FC Emmen 26 4 9 13 -22 21
17 Groningen 26 4 5 17 -27 17
18 Cambuur 26 4 4 18 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse PSV Eindhoven
8′
X. Simons 0–1
C. Arcus 🔁
↦ R. Flamingo
12′
Sondre Tronstad 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Bakayoko
↦ A. El Ghazi
0–2 I. Sangaré
own goal
61′
G. Vidović 🔁
↦ K. Kozłowski
66′
66′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ J. Branthwaite
84′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ André Ramalho
M. Jonathans 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
89′
92′
🔁 O. Boscagli
↦ A. Obispo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
16 K. Scherpen G
3 R. Flamingo D
6 D. Oroz D
29 N. Isimat-Mirin D
13 E. Cornelisse D
20 M. Meulensteen M
8 S. Tronstad M
15 M. van Ginkel M
42 M. Manhoef F
17 K. Kozłowski F
21 M. Bero F
Bench (11)
2 C. Arcus
10 G. Vidović
26 M. Jonathans
33 D. Reiziger
14 B. Białek
24 J. Houwen
22 T. Domgjoni
9 M. Sankoh
35 M. Dijks
53 S. van Duivenbooden
18 T. Hájek

Coach: P. Cocu

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
22 J. Branthwaite D
30 P. van Aanholt D
6 I. Sangaré M
7 X. Simons M
23 J. Veerman M
21 A. El Ghazi F
9 L. de Jong F
10 Fábio Silva F
Bench (10)
27 J. Bakayoko
4 A. Obispo
11 T. Hazard
18 O. Boscagli
15 É. Gutiérrez
41 K. Peersman
24 B. Waterman
28 I. Saibari
20 G. Til
3 J. Teze

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,69
U ✓
4,05
B
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.