Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match report
TEC
Almkerk
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0–1
1–1 J. Berrio
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Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Berrio
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3–1 D. Knuiman
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3–2
4–2 K. Meeuwsen
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Full-time 4–2
Line-ups
TEC
3
J. Ket
10
Dennis Knuiman
7
Krijn Meeuwsen
28
Aimane Ouamar
1
Job Schuurman
19
Mohamed Sekou Toure
43
Jonathan Vergara Berrio
5
R. Wouters
2
Jordy de Beer
29
Dirk Rasing
14
Timon Brandsen
Bench (11)
27
Khalid Haji
24
N. Hoogveld
17
Jesse Van Piggelen
9
Joost Rensing
11
Daimios Damkalis
16
Junior Carvalho
21
Quentin van Veenendaal
8
Tulughan Turkmen
18
Roshendrik Ortela
22
W. Hassoun
20
Elber Evora
Almkerk
16
Falk Van Sluisveld
4
Ruben Sibon
7
Jenner Koek
9
Nick Kant
1
Dennis Van Duin
3
Thomas Blankers
15
Derk Groenenberg
20
C. Van Rosmalen
10
Robin Damen
2
Lennart Houweling
Bench (9)
23
Xavier van Schijndel
17
Zachery Gorree
22
Angelo Koranteng
6
Dominique Mahu
5
Steyn Quadflieg
12
Samuel Scholsberg
8
Janno Swart
14
Milan Van Dijk
21
Huib Van Wijk
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.