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DBU Pokalen
Referee: A Voergaard
HB Koge
S U
1–4
Full-time
Sonderjyske
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

HB Koge Sonderjyske
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
3,5
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match HB Koge 22. · Sonderjyske 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middelfart 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Vejle 3 3 0 0 +10 9
3 Nykobing FC 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +11 6
5 Aarhus 2 2 0 0 +11 6
6 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
7 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
8 Ishøj 2 2 0 0 +7 6
9 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Vanløse 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
13 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 FA 2000 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
17 FC Helsingor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
18 Fremad Amager 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 BSF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 AB Copenhagen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 HB Koge 2 1 1 0 +4 4
23 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Brabrand 3 1 1 1 -2 4
25 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
26 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
27 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
28 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
55 SGI 3 0 1 2 -7 1
56 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
97 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

HB Koge Sonderjyske
17′
⚽ S. Emini 0–1
33′
🟨 S. Emini
36′
⚽ J. Gallegos 0–2
Half-time 0–2
O. Lassen 🔁
↦ Y. Salech
46′
46′
⚽ J. Gallegos 0–3
55′
🔁 S. Jessen
↦ C. Remmer
55′
🔁 M. Ladefoged
↦ M. Hyllegaard
Yahyie Shirzai 🔁
↦ J. Trenskow
59′
E. Semovski 🔁
↦ W. Madsen
59′
F. Bay 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
59′
C. Jorgensen 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 E. Frederiksen
↦ S. Emini
64′
🔁 T. Olesen
↦ P. Christiansen
1–3 J. Adedeji ⚽
69′
81′
🟨 J. Gallegos
N. Cavnic 🟨
85′
85′
⚽ M. Ladefoged 1–4
88′
🟨 S. Jessen
89′
🔁 A. Toure
↦ J. Gallegos
J. Adedeji 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

HB Koge

1 O. Snorre
4 N. Cavnić
10 P. Larsen
5 L. Gordinho
17 O. Buch
24 C. Jørgensen
18 J. Trenskow
13 W. Madsen
14 J. Adedeji
9 Y. Salech
19 A. Arshad
Bench (8)
23 O. Lassen
34 Yahyie Shirzai
30 E. Semovski
3 F. Bay
11 J. Rothmann
29 M. Kruuse
2 J. Jensen-Abbew
35 A. Hansen

Coach: D. Agger

Sonderjyske

1 N. Flø
2 C. Remmer
12 M. Soulas
21 A. Barkarson
3 R. Wikström
6 A. Hadžić
17 J. Gallegos
7 S. Emini
30 L. Björklund
20 P. Christiansen
9 M. Hyllegaard
Bench (9)
33 S. Jessen
19 M. Ladefoged
22 E. Frederiksen
36 T. Olesen
29 A. Toure
4 L. Račić
28 M. Nissen
37 K. Jorgensen
34 P. Sørensen

Coach: H. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.