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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob Karlsen
Midtjylland
S U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Horsens
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
24 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
9 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
5 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Midtjylland 5. · Horsens 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 28 14 8 6 +17 50
2 FC Copenhagen 28 15 4 9 +22 49
3 Aarhus 28 13 7 8 +10 46
4 Viborg 28 13 7 8 +8 46
5 Midtjylland 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Randers FC 28 10 10 8 -1 40
7 Odense 29 10 10 9 -9 40
8 Brondby 28 11 6 11 -6 39
9 Silkeborg 28 8 7 13 -8 31
10 Aalborg 29 6 9 14 -7 27
11 Horsens 28 7 6 15 -21 27
12 Lyngby 28 5 9 14 -15 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Apr -23 Horsens – Midtjylland 0–2 16. Oct -22 Midtjylland – Horsens 2–1 12. Aug -22 Horsens – Midtjylland 3–3 14. Feb -21 Midtjylland – Horsens 1–0 4. Oct -20 Horsens – Midtjylland 2–2

Match report

Midtjylland Horsens
1–0 S. Gartenmann ⚽
K. Olsson
20′
24′
⚽ T. Santos 1–1
A. Jacobsen
37′
🔁 E. Just
↦ A. Ludwig
Kristoffer Olsson 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. Kiilerich ⚽
own goal
50′
Henrik Dalsgaard 🟨
53′
53′
🟨 Anders Jacobsen
54′
🔁 M. Jensen
↦ M. Hannesbo
F. Heiselberg 🔁
↦ A. Gigović
59′
Charles 🔁
↦ A. Şimşir
63′
2–2 G. Isaksen ⚽
K. Olsson
72′
78′
🔁 S. Iyede
↦ D. Kruse
78′
🔁 J. Drachmann
↦ M. Opondo
79′
🔁 J. Gemmer
↦ L. Musonda
M. Thychosen 🔁
↦ S. Gartenmann
84′
V. Bak 🔁
↦ Paulinho
84′
E. Chilufya 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
84′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-4-2
1 J. Lössl G
14 H. Dalsgaard D
4 S. Gartenmann D
73 Juninho D
29 Paulinho D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
37 A. Gigović M
11 G. Isaksen F
58 A. Şimşir F
Bench (9)
47 F. Heiselberg
35 Charles
17 M. Thychosen
55 V. Bak
18 E. Chilufya
40 G. Fraulo
20 V. Byskov
16 E. Ólafsson
22 P. Texel

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Horsens

3-5-2
1 M. Delač G
4 M. Kiilerich D
33 A. Ludwig D
17 M. Lassen D
24 L. Musonda M
11 A. Sigurðarson M
23 D. Kruse M
6 M. Opondo M
19 M. Hannesbo M
9 A. Jacobsen F
18 T. Santos F
Bench (9)
27 E. Just
3 M. Jensen
26 S. Iyede
8 J. Drachmann
14 J. Gemmer
28 A. Saine
16 S. Brolin
29 J. Beluli
32 H. Toftegaard

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jacob Karlsen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.