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DBU Pokalen

Referee: M Rasmussen

Aalborg

T T T S S

2–3

Full-time

Fredericia

S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Fredericia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches

Win Ø 54%

33%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 21%

17%

25%

Average goals

3,5

6,5

Scored

2,5

6,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+5,5

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

7,0

8,5

Scored

7,0

8,0

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+7,0

+7,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalborg 4. · Fredericia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+22	6
2	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
3	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+15	6
4	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+14	6
5	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+12	6
6	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+12	6
7	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Lyseng	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	HIK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	tst Fodbold	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
22	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
23	Hillerød	2	1	0	1	+5	3
24	Odense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
27	Kolding B	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Lyngby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Ringsted	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Sonderjyske	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	AB Tårnby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	VRI	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Skjold Birkerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Skive	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	-3	3
46	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
48	Bagsværd	2	1	0	1	-5	3
49	Søften	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	Aabenraa	2	1	0	1	-12	3
51	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Fjordager	2	0	1	1	-8	1
54	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
90	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
93	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
94	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
97	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	tst Fodbold	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Kolding B	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ringsted	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	Søften	2	1	0	1	-6	3
16	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Skjold Sæby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-5	0
47	VRI	1	0	0	1	-6	0
48	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
51	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
52	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
53	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-7	0
54	Fjordager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
55	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
56	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
57	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-13	0
58	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
59	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+22	6
2	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
3	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+15	6
4	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+14	6
5	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+12	6
6	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+12	6
7	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
8	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	FC Helsingor	2	2	0	0	+7	6
10	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
17	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
18	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+7	3
19	VRI	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Odense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
22	Skjold Sæby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Bagsværd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Lyngby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	AB Tårnby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Skjold Birkerød	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Aabenraa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Skive	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Fjordager	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.