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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Silkeborg

S T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Aarhus

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Silkeborg Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

40%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

55%

35%

Both score Ø 53%

45%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,06 xG 0,09

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 4

2 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Silkeborg 6. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	20	13	3	4	+16	+10.3	42
2	Brondby	20	12	5	3	+20	+5.7	41
3	FC Copenhagen	20	12	3	5	+16	+15.9	39
4	Nordsjaelland	21	10	6	5	+14	+6.2	36
5	Aarhus	20	7	9	4	+3	+4.7	30
6	Silkeborg	20	8	3	9	+0	+5.8	27
7	Viborg	20	6	5	9	-10	-5.4	23
8	Randers FC	20	5	7	8	-13	-3.0	22
9	Odense	20	5	6	9	-6	-7.1	21
10	Lyngby	20	5	5	10	-10	-2.8	20
11	Vejle	20	4	7	9	-3	-14.1	19
12	Hvidovre IF	21	2	5	14	-27	-16.1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	10	7	2	1	+12	+5.6	23
2	Nordsjaelland	10	6	3	1	+11	+5.9	21
3	Brondby	10	6	2	2	+10	+6.7	20
4	FC Copenhagen	10	6	1	3	+9	+11.9	19
5	Viborg	10	5	3	2	+4	-1.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	5	2	3	+4	+6.4	17
7	Aarhus	10	4	3	3	-1	+3.0	15
8	Lyngby	10	3	4	3	+1	+1.2	13
9	Randers FC	10	3	4	3	-5	+1.2	13
10	Vejle	10	3	3	4	+1	-3.5	12
11	Odense	10	0	3	7	-12	-1.9	3
12	Hvidovre IF	11	0	2	9	-19	-4.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	10	6	3	1	+10	-1.0	21
2	FC Copenhagen	10	6	2	2	+7	+4.0	20
3	Midtjylland	10	6	1	3	+4	+4.7	19
4	Odense	10	5	3	2	+6	-5.2	18
5	Aarhus	10	3	6	1	+4	+1.7	15
6	Nordsjaelland	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.3	15
7	Silkeborg	10	3	1	6	-4	-0.6	10
8	Randers FC	10	2	3	5	-8	-4.1	9
9	Hvidovre IF	10	2	3	5	-8	-11.3	9
10	Vejle	10	1	4	5	-4	-10.6	7
11	Lyngby	10	2	1	7	-11	-4.0	7
12	Viborg	10	1	2	7	-14	-4.0	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.