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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Jonas Bøgelund
1–2
Full-time
Esbjerg
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marienlyst Esbjerg
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,8
Scored
0,5
3,2
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 B 93 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Sundby 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Skanderborg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 HIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 GVI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Raklev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Farsø/Ullits 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Bramming 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Tune 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Mejrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Lyngby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Marienlyst Esbjerg
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Nissen
48′
52′
J. Ankersen 1–1
58′
J. Ankersen 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Marienlyst

Coach: L. Spinner

Esbjerg

Coach: Sancheev Manoharan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.