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Europa League
Referee: Aliyar Aghayev
Rīgas FS
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time
KuPS
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rīgas FS KuPS
Stefan Panić 🟨
13′
14′
J. Oksanen 0–1
24′
M. Toure 0–2
S. Rakic 🔁
↦ P. Mares
32′
Darko Lemajić 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
D. Ikaunieks 🔁
↦ D. Lemajic
46′
B. Diedhiou 🔁
↦ T. Wouter
50′
Dāvis Ikaunieks 🟨
59′
1–2 B. Diedhiou
D. Zelenkovs
61′
69′
🔁 P. Parzyszek
↦ P. Pennanen
69′
🔁 S. Pasanen
↦ J. Voutilainen
M. Kigurs 🔁
77′
91′
🔁 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↦ M. Toure
91′
🔁 S. Seidu
↦ D. Arifi
94′
🔁 A. Lotjonen
↦ O. Ruoppi
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
35 M. Maric G
11 R. Savalnieks D
4 R. Veips D
21 E. Stuglis D
25 P. Mares D
26 S. Panic M
30 H. Njie D
18 D. Zelenkovs M
37 T. Wouter M
70 M. Talla M
22 D. Lemajic F
Bench (10)
13 S. Vilkovs
16 J. Nerugals
2 A. Filipovic
9 D. Ikaunieks
32 Facu
43 Z. Lipuscek
49 M. Kigurs
71 B. Diedhiou
77 J. Porsan Clemente
81 S. Rakic

Coach: Viktors Morozs

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
24 B. Armah D
15 I. Cisse D
16 S. Miettinen D
6 S. Savolainen D
13 J. Oksanen M
10 D. Arifi M
34 O. Ruoppi M
7 J. Voutilainen M
8 P. Pennanen M
20 M. Toure F
Bench (9)
12 A. Hakala
9 P. Parzyszek
11 A. Sadiku
14 S. Pasanen
17 A. Heinonen
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
23 A. Lotjonen
28 S. Seidu
32 R. Tikkanen

Coach: Jarkko Juhani Wiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.