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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Kairat Almaty
T U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Slovan Bratislava
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kairat Almaty Slovan Bratislava
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Kairat Almaty Slovan Bratislava
15′
🟨 Tigran Barseghyan
Erkin Tapalov 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Rahim Ibrahim
Damir Kasabulat 🟨
55′
65′
🟨 Rahim Ibrahim
65′
🟥 Rahim Ibrahim
Dastan Satpaev 🟨
67′
72′
🟨 David Strelec
A. Mrynskiy 🔁
↦ V. Gromyko
78′
78′
🔁 A. Yirajang
↦ V. j. Weiss
Ricardinho 🔁
↦ Edmilson
81′
82′
🔁 M. Kukharevych
↦ D. Strelec
82′
🔁 D. Ignatenko
↦ M. Tolic
88′
🟨 Danylo Ignatenko
1–0 D. Satpaev ⚽
90′
91′
🔁 K. Wimmer
↦ T. Barseghyan
92′
🟨 Kenan Bajrić
D. Glazer 🔁
↦ D. Kasabulat
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kairat Almaty

4-3-2-1
1 A. Zarutskiy G
20 E. Tapalov D
14 A. Martynovich D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
4 D. Kasabulat M
15 O. Arad M
7 Jorginho M
9 D. Satpaev F
55 V. Gromyko M
26 Edmilson F
Bench (12)
77 T. Anarbekov
82 S. Kalmurza
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
17 O. Baybek
18 D. Glazer
24 A. Mrynskiy
25 A. Shirobokov
33 J. Stanojev
44 L. Gadrani
89 R. Bagdat
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Slovan Bratislava

4-2-3-1
71 D. Takac G
28 C. Blackman D
12 K. Bajric D
4 G. Kashia D
57 S. Cruz D
3 P. Pokorny M
5 R. Ibrahim
11 T. Barseghyan M
10 M. Tolic M
7 V. j. Weiss M
13 D. Strelec F
Bench (12)
31 M. Trnovsky
44 M. Macik
6 K. Wimmer
9 M. Kukharevych
14 A. Yirajang
18 N. Marcelli
20 A. Mustafic
21 R. Mak
23 S. Zuberu
26 F. Lichy
77 D. Ignatenko
88 K. Savvidis

Coach: Vladimir Weiss

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.