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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Nice
S S S T S
0–2
Full-time
Benfica
S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Benfica
T. Louchet 🔁
↦ M. Sanson
28′
Abdulay Juma Bah 🟨
30′
33′
🟨 Andreas Schjelderup
Half-time 0–0
K. Peprah 🔁
↦ Dante
46′
53′
⚽ F. Ivanovic 0–1
F. Aursnes
66′
🔁 G. Prestianni
↦ A. Schjelderup
77′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ F. Ivanovic
77′
🔁 H. Araujo
↦ V. Pavlidis
77′
🔁 Florentino
↦ E. Barrenechea
Tom Louchet 🟨
79′
J. Boga 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
79′
S. Diop 🔁
↦ B. Bouanani
79′
Antoine Mendy 🟨
85′
88′
⚽ Florentino 0–2
S. Dahl
B. Nguene 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Nice

3-4-3
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
4 Dante D
92 J. Clauss M
6 H. Boudaoui M
11 M. Sanson M
26 M. Bard M
19 B. Bouanani F
9 T. Moffi F
21 I. Jansson F
Bench (12)
31 M. Dupe
77 T. Boulhendi
7 J. Boga
8 P. Rosario
10 S. Diop
14 B. Brahimi
20 T. Louchet
23 G. Bernardeau
36 H. Koutoune
37 K. Peprah
39 D. Coulibaly
49 B. Nguene

Coach: Claude Puel

Benfica

4-4-2
1 A. Trubin G
17 A. Dedic D
4 A. Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
8 F. Aursnes M
20 R. Rios M
5 E. Barrenechea M
21 A. Schjelderup M
9 F. Ivanovic F
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
24 S. Soares
50 D. Ferreira
3 R. Obrador
18 L. Barreiro
25 G. Prestianni
39 H. Araujo
47 T. Gouveia
61 Florentino
64 G. Oliveira
68 J. Veloso
71 L. Santos
86 D. Prioste

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.