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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: Ole-Alexander Ekeli Valen

Stabaek

U T U T U

1–2

Full-time

Aalesund

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

19%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

56%

53%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stabaek 14. · Aalesund 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	16	11	5	0	+26	38
2	Start	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Aalesund	15	6	8	1	+9	26
4	Sogndal	17	7	4	6	+3	25
5	Egersund	15	7	3	5	+0	24
6	Ranheim	15	7	2	6	-2	23
7	Odd	16	6	4	6	+1	22
8	hodd	17	6	4	7	-6	22
9	Lyn	16	6	3	7	+5	21
10	Kongsvinger	15	5	5	5	+4	20
11	Moss	16	6	2	8	-9	20
12	Raufoss	16	4	7	5	+0	19
13	Asane	16	4	5	7	-6	17
14	Stabaek	16	3	6	7	-9	15
15	Mjondalen	16	2	5	9	-21	11
16	Skeid	16	1	7	8	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aalesund	9	5	4	0	+9	19
2	Odd	8	5	3	0	+7	18
3	Moss	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Lillestrom	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Raufoss	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Sogndal	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Start	8	4	1	3	+5	13
8	hodd	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Ranheim	9	4	1	4	-4	13
10	Asane	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	Kongsvinger	7	3	2	2	+4	11
12	Egersund	7	3	2	2	-4	11
13	Stabaek	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Lyn	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Mjondalen	8	1	3	4	-11	6
16	Skeid	7	0	4	3	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	9	6	3	0	+18	21
2	Start	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	Lyn	8	4	1	3	+8	13
4	Egersund	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Ranheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Sogndal	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Kongsvinger	8	2	3	3	+0	9
8	hodd	10	2	3	5	-9	9
9	Aalesund	6	1	4	1	+0	7
10	Skeid	9	1	3	5	-2	6
11	Stabaek	8	1	3	4	-8	6
12	Asane	8	1	2	5	-6	5
13	Mjondalen	8	1	2	5	-10	5
14	Raufoss	7	0	4	3	-4	4
15	Odd	8	1	1	6	-6	4
16	Moss	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.