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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Benjamin Emil Friis
1–7
Full-time
FC Nakskov
S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallensbæk FC Nakskov
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 38%
0%
75%
Average goals
6,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
1,8
Conceded
6,0
4,3
Goal diff per game
-6,0
-2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 B 93 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +6 3
4 Sundby 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Skanderborg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Oksbøl 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Odder 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 HIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 GVI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Raklev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Farsø/Ullits 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Marstal / Rise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Bramming 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Tune 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Mejrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 BSI 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Lyngby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 B 1909 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 FC Kalundborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 LSF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
77 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
78 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
79 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
80 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
81 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
82 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
83 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
84 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
85 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
86 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallensbæk FC Nakskov
18′
⚽ N. Skovgaard 0–1
25′
⚽ F. Christensen 0–2
33′
⚽ N. Fugl 0–3
1–3 P. Otto ⚽
38′
45′
⚽ N. Skovgaard 1–4
Half-time 1–5
63′
⚽ N. Fugl 1–5
69′
⚽ T. Nielsen 1–6
84′
⚽ N. Skovgaard 1–7
Full-time 1–7

Line-ups

Vallensbæk

Coach: M. Egvang

FC Nakskov

Coach: H. Christensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.