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Conference League
Referee: Lionel Tschudi
Riga
T S T S U
3–0
Full-time
Beitar Jerusalem
U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Beitar Jerusalem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
5,0
Scored
2,5
3,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Riga Beitar Jerusalem
Maksims Tonisevs 🟨
23′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Reginaldo Ramires ⚽
J. Grimaldo
47′
A. Cernomordijs 🔁
↦ M. Tonisevs
61′
61′
🔁 Z. Zasno
↦ G. Morozov
61′
🔁 A. Yona
↦ D. Micha
2–0 Reginaldo Ramires ⚽
M. Diop
63′
68′
🔁 Y. Cohen
↦ T. Muzie
3–0 B. Musah ⚽
69′
M. Regza 🔁
↦ Reginaldo Ramires
71′
A. Contreras 🔁
↦ M. Diop
87′
A. Taiwo 🔁
↦ Iago Siqueira
87′
E. Birka 🔁
↦ J. Grimaldo
87′
87′
🔁 D. Hugi
↦ J. Kalu
Baba Musah 🟨
88′
91′
🟨 Aílson Tavares
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Riga

4-1-4-1
1 K. Zviedris G
23 M. Tonisevs D
21 B. Musah D
3 M. Ngom D
13 R. Jurkovskis D
40 A. Ankrah M
22 M. Diop
4 O. Galo M
8 Iago Siqueira M
20 J. Grimaldo M
10 Reginaldo Ramires F
Bench (11)
12 K. Zommers
44 M. Kazainis
5 K. Wassom
9 A. Contreras
11 B. Pena
18 M. Regza
19 A. Taiwo
25 N. Muzinga
27 E. Birka
34 A. Cernomordijs
77 G. Mankenda

Coach: Adrián Gul'a

Beitar Jerusalem

4-3-3
55 Miguel Silva G
18 G. Morozov D
4 B. Carabali D
20 O. Dahan D
29 A. Mendy D
15 D. Micha M
42 A. Tavares M
8 L. Yarin M
11 T. Muzie M
9 J. Kalu F
7 Y. Shua F
Bench (12)
1 A. Korenfine
22 Y. Ozer
2 Z. Zasno
5 G. Cohen
6 Z. Ben Shimol
10 A. Yona
12 N. Dabush
16 Y. Cohen
17 Y. Yusupov
24 D. Hugi
36 A. Zargary
44 L. Deri

Coach: Barak Itzhaki

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.