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Europa League
Referee: Igor Pajač
Fredrikstad
S T U S U
1–3
Full-time
Midtjylland
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fredrikstad Midtjylland
14′
Franculino 0–1
32′
M. Gogorza 0–2
D. Osorio
Half-time 0–2
J. Bjartalid 🔁
↦ S. Sorlokk
57′
S. Owusu 🔁
↦ D. Eid
57′
63′
🔁 D. Castillo
↦ Junior Brumado
63′
🔁 V. Bak
↦ Paulinho
63′
🔁 A. Simsir
↦ M. Gogorza
R. R. Shein 🔁
↦ P. Metcalfe
71′
H. Skogvold 🔁
↦ E. Holten
71′
71′
🔁 V. Byskov
↦ D. Osorio
1–2 J. Bjartalid
O. Ohlenschlaeger
77′
79′
D. Castillo 1–3
V. Byskov
82′
🟨 Han-Beom Lee
83′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Franculino
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

3-5-2
77 M. Borsheim G
22 M. Woledzi D
12 U. Fredriksen D
5 S. Rafn D
16 D. Eid D
13 S. Sorlokk
6 L. Owusu M
11 P. Metcalfe M
4 S. Molde D
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
9 E. Holten F
Bench (12)
1 O. Ovretveit
25 O. Langbraten
2 K. Okpaleke
3 B. Skaret
14 J. Bjartalid
17 S. Kvile
18 L. Begby
19 R. R. Shein
23 H. Skogvold
28 S. Owusu
32 J. Solberg
40 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Olafsson G
13 A. Gabriel D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
29 Paulinho D
11 D. Osorio M
24 O. Sorensen M
19 P. Bravo M
41 M. Gogorza F
7 Franculino F
74 Junior Brumado F
Bench (12)
1 J. Lossl
31 L. Selin
6 M. Erlic
14 E. Chilufya
20 V. Byskov
21 D. Castillo
33 G. Bjerge
43 K. Mbabu
55 V. Bak
58 A. Simsir
80 Dani Silva
90 F. Etim

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.