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DBU Pokalen

Referee: Kristian Slæbo Petersen

Lyseng

S T T S U

4–3

Full-time

Roskilde

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyseng Roskilde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,2

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+3,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lyseng 23. · Roskilde 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	VSK Århus	2	2	0	0	+10	6
4	Holbæk B&I	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Oksbøl	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Sundby	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	HIK	3	2	0	1	+5	6
12	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Kolding B	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Ringsted	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Aalborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Hvidovre IF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
18	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
19	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+2	4
20	Odder	2	1	1	0	+2	4
21	GVI	2	1	1	0	+2	4
22	AB Copenhagen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Lyseng	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Lyngby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Odense	1	1	0	0	+11	3
26	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+6	3
27	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
28	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+5	3
29	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
30	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Skive	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	FC Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	FA 2000	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Ishøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Bramming	2	1	0	1	-3	3
48	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
49	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
50	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
51	Silkeborg KFUM	3	1	0	2	-7	3
52	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
53	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
54	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
55	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
98	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
99	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
100	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oksbøl	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Ringsted	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sundby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bramming	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Hvidovre IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Farsø/Ullits	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	BSI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Skanderborg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Mejrup	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Marstal / Rise	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	-4	3
15	Raklev	2	1	0	1	-8	3
16	FC Kalundborg	2	1	0	1	-10	3
17	LSF	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	GVI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	AB Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	OKS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Næsby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Middelfart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	FC Helsingor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Tune	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Skovsgård	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Rudersdal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Fredensborg BI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Skødstrup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	BK Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Grenaa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Skibsby-Hojene	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	Norager	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Husum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Viktoria	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Øresund OKF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	FC Horsens	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Snejbjerg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Silkeborg KFUM	2	0	0	2	-10	0
62	Ålholm	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	Sonderjyske	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	VSK Århus	2	2	0	0	+10	6
4	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	HIK	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Kolding B	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
13	B 93	2	1	1	0	+10	4
14	Brønshøj	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	Lyseng	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Lyngby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Odense	1	1	0	0	+11	3
18	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+6	3
19	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+6	3
20	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+6	3
21	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+5	3
22	FC Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Sundby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Odder	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	GVI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Tune	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Frem	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Nykobing FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Tved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	TRIF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Sønderborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Stenløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Billund	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Ishøj	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Bramming	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.