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Champions League
Referee: S Scharer
Paris SG
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Atalanta
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,48 xG 0,55
67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 7
13 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Atalanta
1–0 Marquinhos ⚽
F. Ruiz
3′
2–0 K. Kvaratskhelia ⚽
A. Hakimi
39′
Marquinhos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
43′
44′
🟨 Yunus Musah
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 L. Samardzic
↦ C. De Ketelaere
46′
🔁 N. Krstovic
↦ D. Maldini
3–0 N. Mendes ⚽
B. Barcola
51′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ S. Mayulu
55′
W. Zaire-Emery 🔁
↦ F. Ruiz
55′
G. Ramos 🔁
↦ J. Neves
58′
I. Zabarnyi 🔁
↦ N. Mendes
75′
I. Mbaye 🔁
↦ K. Kvaratskhelia
75′
75′
🔁 G. Scalvini
↦ B. Djimsiti
75′
🔁 M. Brescianini
↦ Y. Musah
85′
🔁 H. Ahanor
↦
4–0 G. Ramos ⚽
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
87 J. Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 F. Ruiz M
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F
24 S. Mayulu F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (8)
89 R. Marin
39 M. Safonov
6 I. Zabarnyi
9 G. Ramos
19 Lee Kang-In
21 L. Hernandez
33 W. Zaire-Emery
49 I. Mbaye

Coach: Enrique Luis

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
4 I. Hien D
19 B. Djimsiti D
16 R. Bellanova M
15 M. De Roon M
6 Y. Musah M
47 L. Bernasconi M
8 M. Pasalic F
17 C. De Ketelaere F
70 D. Maldini F
Bench (12)
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
7 K. Sulemana
10 L. Samardzic
40 R. Obric
41 H. Camara
42 G. Scalvini
44 M. Brescianini
59 N. Zalewski
69 H. Ahanor
77 D. Zappacosta
90 N. Krstovic

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Scharer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.