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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Ajax
S U S U S
0–2
Full-time
Inter
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,26 xG 1,24
56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Inter
17′
🟨 Marcus Thuram
35′
ℹ️ Marcus Thuram
VAR: Penalty cancelled
42′
⚽ M. Thuram 0–1
H. Calhanoglu
Half-time 0–2
47′
⚽ M. Thuram 0–2
H. Calhanoglu
K. Dolberg 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
63′
J. McConnell 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
63′
67′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
69′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
Youri Baas 🟨
73′
R. Moro 🔁
↦ M. Godts
76′
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
76′
79′
🔁 P. Zielinski
↦ N. Barella
79′
🔁 Carlos Augusto
↦ F. Dimarco
J. Sutalo 🔁
↦ K. Itakura
84′
86′
🔁 P. Sucic
↦ H. Calhanoglu
86′
🔁 A. Bonny
↦ M. Thuram
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
1 V. Jaros G
3 A. Gaaei D
4 K. Itakura D
15 Y. Baas D
5 O. Wijndal D
18 D. Klaassen M
6 Y. Regeer M
8 K. Taylor M
17 O. Edvardsen F
25 W. Weghorst F
11 M. Godts F
Bench (12)
12 J. Heerkens
22 R. Pasveer
2 L. Rosa
7 R. Moro
9 K. Dolberg
10 O. Gloukh
16 J. McConnell
24 J. Mokio
28 K. Fitz-Jim
37 J. Sutalo
41 G. Alders
43 R. Bounida

Coach: Oscar Garcia Junyent

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
25 M. Akanji D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
9 M. Thuram F
94 F. Esposito F
Bench (12)
12 R. Di Gennaro
13 J. Martinez
7 P. Zielinski
8 P. Sucic
10 L. Martinez
11 Luis Henrique
14 A. Bonny
15 F. Acerbi
16 D. Frattesi
17 A. Diouf
30 Carlos Augusto
31 Y. Bisseck

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.