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Champions League
Referee: J Sanchez
Bayern Munich
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Chelsea
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,8
2,3
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,07 xG 0,73
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Chelsea
0–1 T. Chalobah
own goal
20′
1–1 H. Kane
27′
Jonathan Tah 🟨
29′
29′
C. Palmer 1–2
M. Gusto
Half-time 1–2
Kim Min-Jae 🔁
↦ J. Tah
46′
S. Boey 🔁
↦ J. Stanisic
51′
2–2 H. Kane
S. Gnabry
63′
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ A. Pavlovic
64′
68′
🔁 A. Garnacho
↦ P. Neto
68′
🔁 Andrey Santos
↦ R. James
81′
🔁 Estêvão
↦ E. Fernandez
Konrad Laimer 🟨
85′
Michael Olise 🟨
85′
90′
ℹ️ Cole Palmer
VAR: Goal cancelled
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ H. Kane
91′
T. Bischof 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
91′
96′
🟨 Andrey Santos
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
44 J. Stanisic D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
7 S. Gnabry M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
26 S. Ulreich
40 J. Urbig
3 Kim Min-Jae
8 L. Goretzka
11 N. Jackson
20 T. Bischof
23 S. Boey
30 C. Kiala
42 L. Karl
47 D. Daiber

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Chelsea

4-2-3-1
1 R. Sanchez G
27 M. Gusto D
23 T. Chalobah D
4 T. Adarabioyo D
3 M. Cucurella D
24 R. James M
25 M. Caicedo M
10 C. Palmer M
8 E. Fernandez M
7 P. Neto M
20 Joao Pedro F
Bench (12)
12 F. Jorgensen
35 T. Curd
11 J. Gittens
21 J. Hato
29 W. Fofana
32 T. George
34 J. Acheampong
38 M. Guiu
40 F. Buonanotte
41 Estêvão
49 A. Garnacho
17 Andrey Santos

Coach: Liam Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.