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DBU Pokalen
Referee: Aydin Uslu
Aalborg
T T T S S
0–3
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalborg Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +11 6
3 VSK Århus 2 2 0 0 +10 6
4 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +8 6
5 Oksbøl 2 2 0 0 +7 6
6 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +7 6
7 Sundby 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
9 Hillerød 2 2 0 0 +6 6
10 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +6 6
12 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
13 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Kolding B 2 2 0 0 +4 6
15 Ringsted 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
18 B 93 2 1 1 0 +10 4
19 Brønshøj 2 1 1 0 +2 4
20 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 Lyseng 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Lyngby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Odense 1 1 0 0 +11 3
26 Vejle 1 1 0 0 +6 3
27 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
28 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
30 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Viborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
47 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
48 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
49 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
51 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
52 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
53 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
54 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
98 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalborg Midtjylland
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ O. Ross
16′
Half-time 0–0
K. John 🟨
46′
A. Jasson 🔁
↦ M. Bomholt
46′
M. Kallesoe 🟨
48′
48′
🟨 P. Billing
49′
Junior Brumado 0–1
56′
🔁 Cho Gue-Sung
↦ Franculino
56′
🔁 V. Bak
↦ Paulinho
M. Kaasa 🔁
↦ N. Helenius
59′
N. Arnorsson 🔁
↦ A. Andersson
59′
63′
V. Byskov 0–2
67′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ Junior Brumado
67′
🔁 Dani Silva
↦ P. Billing
F. Borsting 🔁
↦ V. Moller
75′
79′
Cho Gue-Sung 0–3
86′
🟨
89′
🔁 D. Castillo
↦ P. Bravo
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Aalborg

1 V. Muller
2 M. Kallesoe
3 A. Andersson
8 A. Hapnes
33 E. Makolli
4 B. Tiedemann
28 V. Moller
21 M. Bomholt
9 N. Helenius
27 K. John
10 O. Ross
Bench (9)
5 M. Nielsen
11 K. Hansen
13 C. Olsson
17 A. Jasson
23 M. Kaasa
24 N. Arnorsson
25 F. Borsting
39 B. Skovgaard
40 B. Gronkjaer

Midtjylland

1 J. Lossl
13 A. Gabriel
29 Paulinho
22 M. Bech Sorensen
3 Lee Han-Beom
4 O. Diao
19 P. Bravo
8 P. Billing
20 V. Byskov
7 Franculino
74 Junior Brumado
Bench (9)
6 M. Erlic
10 Cho Gue-Sung
14 E. Chilufya
16 E. Olafsson
21 D. Castillo
43 K. Mbabu
55 V. Bak
58 A. Simsir
80 Dani Silva

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Aydin Uslu · 22 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.