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Allsvenskan

Referee: F Ben Ahmed Nehdi

GAIS

T T U U S

2–1

Full-time

Sirius

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 43%

45%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

48%

59%

Both score Ø 48%

41%

55%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,14 xG 0,31

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 6. · Sirius 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	29	18	8	3	+41	+21.3	62
2	Hammarby	29	16	6	7	+24	+8.4	54
3	AIK	29	16	3	10	+1	+2.1	51
4	Djurgarden	29	15	5	9	+8	+1.4	50
5	Mjallby	29	13	8	8	+8	+3.0	47
6	GAIS	29	13	6	10	+1	-3.7	45
7	Elfsborg	29	13	5	11	+8	+7.9	44
8	Hacken	29	12	6	11	+4	-8.2	42
9	Sirius	29	12	5	12	+2	-0.6	41
10	Brommapojkarna	29	8	10	11	-6	-3.0	34
11	Norrkoping	29	9	7	13	-19	-5.2	34
12	Halmstad	29	10	3	16	-14	-6.1	33
13	Goteborg	29	7	10	12	-9	-4.3	31
14	Varnamo	29	7	9	13	-10	-5.1	30
15	Kalmar	29	7	6	16	-21	-10.6	27
16	Vasteras SK	29	5	5	19	-18	+2.6	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	14	12	1	1	+30	+9.8	37
2	Hammarby	15	9	4	2	+16	+5.8	31
3	Elfsborg	15	9	3	3	+16	+7.5	30
4	Mjallby	14	8	5	1	+11	+3.6	29
5	AIK	14	9	1	4	+10	+4.6	28
6	GAIS	14	8	4	2	+10	+0.9	28
7	Djurgarden	14	7	4	3	+4	-0.9	25
8	Halmstad	15	7	2	6	+5	+0.7	23
9	Hacken	15	6	3	6	+6	-1.2	21
10	Sirius	15	6	3	6	+5	+4.1	21
11	Norrkoping	15	6	2	7	-8	-1.6	20
12	Brommapojkarna	15	4	5	6	-7	-1.6	17
13	Goteborg	15	3	6	6	-6	-2.0	15
14	Vasteras SK	14	3	3	8	-7	+4.0	12
15	Kalmar	14	3	2	9	-11	-3.5	11
16	Varnamo	14	2	3	9	-13	-2.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	15	6	7	2	+11	+11.5	25
2	Djurgarden	15	8	1	6	+4	+2.3	25
3	Hammarby	14	7	2	5	+8	+2.6	23
4	AIK	15	7	2	6	-9	-2.6	23
5	Varnamo	15	5	6	4	+3	-3.0	21
6	Hacken	14	6	3	5	-2	-7.0	21
7	Sirius	14	6	2	6	-3	-4.7	20
8	Mjallby	15	5	3	7	-3	-0.6	18
9	Brommapojkarna	14	4	5	5	+1	-1.4	17
10	GAIS	15	5	2	8	-9	-4.6	17
11	Goteborg	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.3	16
12	Kalmar	15	4	4	7	-10	-7.1	16
13	Elfsborg	14	4	2	8	-8	+0.3	14
14	Norrkoping	14	3	5	6	-11	-3.6	14
15	Halmstad	14	3	1	10	-19	-6.8	10
16	Vasteras SK	15	2	2	11	-11	-1.4	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.