La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Real Madrid
Cadiz
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | +28 | 37 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 32 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 |
Osasuna
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |
Vallecano
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 21 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +0 | 19 |
| 12 |
Valladolid
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |
Almeria
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -6 | 12 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 12 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -16 | 11 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -21 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Courtois
G
Lucas Vázquez
D
L. Modrić
M
A. Tchouaméni
M
F. Valverde
F
Vinícius Júnior
F
Coach: C. Ancelotti
Alejo
M
Rubén Alcaraz
M
Coach: Sergio
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Vallecano
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Celtic
Real Madrid
Girona
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Sevilla
César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.