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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Szypuła

Stal Brzeg

4–0

Full-time

Unia Skierniewice

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Polonia Warszawa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
23	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Kalisz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Concordia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Arka Gdynia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	LKS Lodz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stal Mielec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Brzeg Unia Skierniewice

1–0 M. Podgórski ⚽

23′

2–0 M. Sypek ⚽

27′

38′

🟨 D. Dziegielewski

M. Rakoczy 🟨

41′

Half-time 2–0

M. Tupaj 🔁

↦ M. Kudra

46′

🔁 M. Kosior

↦ P. Czarnecki

46′

🔁 N. Vasin

↦ M. Stępień

3–0 M. Podgórski ⚽

59′

60′

🔁 M. Rosiński

↦ S. Łapiński

M. Sypek 🟨

61′

4–0 M. Podgórski ⚽

70′

P. Bujakiewicz 🔁

↦ M. Hawryło

72′

🔁 P. Kłąb

↦ P. Drabik

K. Karolczak 🔁

↦ M. Sypek

76′

R. Brusilo 🟨

78′

80′

🔁 F. Kępisty

↦ M. Pieńkowski

K. Karolczak 🟨

82′

83′

🟨 J. Bartosinski

D. Poniewierski 🔁

↦ M. Rakoczy

83′

Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Stal Brzeg

A. Firek

J. Kowalski

M. Szymczyk

M. Kudra

Ł. Sztylka

R. Brusiło

M. Sypek

M. Kuriata

M. Hawryło

M. Rakoczy

M. Podgórski

Bench (9)

M. Tupaj

P. Bujakiewicz

K. Karolczak

D. Poniewierski

I. Czapran

J. Chołast

K. Urysz

T. Gorski

J. Blichar

Coach: P. Schmidt

Unia Skierniewice

S. Pruszkowski

K. Kowalczyk

P. Czarnecki

D. Makuch

P. Drabik

J. Bartosiński

S. Łapiński

M. Pieńkowski

M. Stępień

D. Dzięgielewski

M. Szmyd

Bench (9)

M. Kosior

N. Vasin

M. Rosiński

P. Kłąb

F. Kępisty

A. Dudziński

A. Sulikowski

F. Zając

R. Grocholski

Coach: K. Socha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Stal Brzeg

Unia Skierniewice

Odds comparison

Recent matches