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Puchar Polski
Referee: L Kuźma
3–4
Full-time
Cracovia
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Górnik Łęczna Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,8
2,2
Scored
0,6
0,7
Conceded
0,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Stal Brzeg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Znicz Pruszków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Carina Gubin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Legia Warszawa II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
24 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
25 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
26 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
28 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
29 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.