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League Cup
Referee: J Smith
Lincoln
T S T S U
0–1
Full-time
West Ham
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

26% Possession 74%
15 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Port Vale 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Exeter City 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Stoke 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Burnley 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Mansfield Town 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Reading 2 1 1 0 +4 4
12 Cardiff 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Newport County 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Lincoln 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Sutton Utd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 Wolves 2 1 0 1 +4 3
19 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Man United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Peterborough 3 0 3 0 +0 3
29 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Luton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Bolton 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -3 3
36 Harrogate Town 2 1 0 1 -7 3
37 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0 +0 2
38 Stevenage 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Crewe 2 0 2 0 +0 2
40 Wrexham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
41 Bradford 3 0 2 1 -2 2
42 Salford City 3 0 2 1 -4 2
43 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Tottenham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Brentford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Tranmere 2 0 1 1 -2 1
59 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 -5 1
60 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lincoln West Ham
Half-time 0–0
64′
🟨 Tomáš Souček
66′
🔁 D. Mubama
↦ M. Cornet
66′
🔁 E. Álvarez
↦ Pablo Fornals
70′
T. Souček 0–1
Paudie O’Connor 🟨
74′
E. Bishop 🔁
↦ A. Smith
78′
J. Makama 🔁
↦ H. Adelakun
78′
D. Duffy 🔁
↦ R. Hackett
78′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lincoln

3-4-3
1 L. Jensen G
25 A. Mitchell D
15 P. O'Connor D
23 S. Roughan D
2 L. Sørensen M
11 E. Hamilton M
6 E. Erhahon M
16 J. Burroughs M
7 R. Hackett F
21 H. Adelakun F
8 A. Smith F
Bench (7)
10 E. Bishop
27 J. Makama
17 D. Duffy
12 J. Wright
22 T. Eyoma
3 J. Brown
5 A. Jackson

Coach: M. Kennedy

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
24 T. Kehrer D
15 K. Mavropanos D
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 B. Johnson D
28 T. Souček M
8 Pablo Fornals M
17 M. Cornet M
14 M. Kudus M
22 S. Benrahma M
18 D. Ings F
Bench (9)
45 D. Mubama
19 E. Álvarez
50 C. Marshall
27 N. Aguerd
5 V. Coufal
49 J. Anang
51 D. Chesters
42 K. Casey
32 C. Coventry

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Smith · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.