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Taça de Portugal
Luzense
0–3
Full-time
Camacha
S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Felgueiras 1932 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Academica 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Rebordosa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 CD Olivais e Moscavide 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Sintrense 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 FC Serpa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Alverca 2 1 1 0 +13 4
9 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 1 0 +7 4
10 Paredes 2 1 1 0 +4 4
11 Valadares Gaia 2 1 1 0 +4 4
12 Montalegre 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Lusitano Évora 1911 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Pêro Pinheiro 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 União de Leiria 1 1 0 0 +12 3
16 Lusitânia Lourosa 2 1 0 1 +9 3
17 Amora 2 1 0 1 +7 3
18 União Santarém 2 1 0 1 +5 3
19 Canelas 2010 1 1 0 0 +5 3
20 Tondela 1 1 0 0 +5 3
21 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Mafra 1 1 0 0 +5 3
23 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 0 1 +4 3
24 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 Vilar de Perdizes 1 1 0 0 +4 3
26 Vila Meã 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Santa Clara 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Mirandela 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Juventude Évora 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Nacional 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Tirsense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 AD Marco 09 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Dumiense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Rabo Peixe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Salgueiros 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Quarteirense SAD 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Academico Viseu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Lusitânia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Santa Maria FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Torreense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 AVS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 O Elvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Tocha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Sandinenses 2 1 0 1 +0 3
54 Louletano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Alqueidão da Serra 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Fabril Barreiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Ribeirão 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 Florgrade 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Castrense 2 1 0 1 -2 3
60 União Micaelense 2 1 0 1 -3 3
61 Fontinhas 2 1 0 1 -3 3
62 Pombal 2 1 0 1 -3 3
63 Peniche 2 0 2 0 +0 2
64 Atlético Arcos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Atlético Malveira 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Anadia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Varzim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Penafiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Oliveirense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Caldas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 SC Covilha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
74 Atlético CP 1 0 1 0 +0 1
75 Gondomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
76 Sanjoanense 2 0 1 1 -1 1
77 Portosantense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
78 Os Limianos 2 0 1 1 -4 1
79 CF Oliveira Douro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 CD Torres Novas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Lobão 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 União de Tomar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Gouveia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Real 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Padernense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Os Marialvas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Oriental Lisboa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 São João Ver 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Penedo Gordo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Trofense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Guadalupe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Imortal Albufeira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Lanheses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Recreativa de Lamelas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Aliados Lordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Foz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Sertanense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Operário 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Brito 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Flamengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Vila Real 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Os Vilanovenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 União de Coimbra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 FC Barreirense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Vitória de Sernache 1 0 0 1 -3 0
116 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Torre de Moncorvo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Ponte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Gafetense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Proença-a-Nova 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Amiense 1 0 0 1 -7 0
123 Vitória do Pico 1 0 0 1 -8 0
124 Régua 1 0 0 1 -10 0
125 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -12 0
126 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.