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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Valencia

S T T S U

0–1

Full-time

Sociedad

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,37 xG 0,18

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 2

2 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 7

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 6. · Sociedad 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	7	6	1	0	+10	+3.6	19
2	Real Madrid	7	6	0	1	+7	+4.9	18
3	Barcelona	7	5	2	0	+10	+8.4	17
4	Ath Bilbao	7	4	2	1	+7	+5.0	14
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+8	+3.2	10
6	Valencia	6	3	1	2	+3	+0.5	10
7	Vallecano	6	3	1	2	-2	+0.6	10
8	Sociedad	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.2	9
9	Cadiz	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.0	8
10	Getafe	7	2	2	3	-3	-3.0	8
11	Betis	6	2	2	2	-5	-2.2	8
12	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	+2	-1.0	7
13	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.7	7
14	Villarreal	7	2	1	4	-3	-2.0	7
15	Mallorca	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.0	6
16	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-4	-2.7	6
17	Las Palmas	7	1	2	4	-4	-2.9	5
18	Celta	6	1	1	4	-4	-0.6	4
19	Granada	6	1	0	5	-8	-6.9	3
20	Almeria	7	0	2	5	-10	+0.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.0	9
2	Girona	3	3	0	0	+6	+2.1	9
3	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.8	9
4	Sociedad	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.5	8
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.9	7
6	Cadiz	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.5	7
7	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.0	7
8	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
9	Sevilla	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.8	6
10	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.6	6
11	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+0	+1.2	6
12	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.6	5
13	Las Palmas	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.2	5
14	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	-5	-1.4	4
15	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-2	-2.2	3
16	Granada	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.3	3
17	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	-2.9	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.9	1
19	Almeria	4	0	1	3	-5	+2.0	1
20	Celta	3	0	0	3	-4	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.5	10
2	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	+3	+1.0	9
3	Barcelona	4	2	2	0	+2	+4.5	8
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.1	7
5	Vallecano	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.0	6
6	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
7	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+4	+1.5	4
8	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
9	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.0	4
10	Villarreal	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.2	4
11	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.1	4
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-6	-3.9	3
13	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
14	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
15	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.0	1
16	Almeria	3	0	1	2	-5	-1.2	1
17	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-5	-6.5	1
18	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.9	0
19	Granada	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.6	0
20	Las Palmas	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.