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Puchar Polski
Referee: L Kuźma
Stal Rzeszów
S U S S T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Rzeszów Pogon Szczecin
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 64%
60%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hutnik Kraków 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Lech Poznań II 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Olimpia Grudziądz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 GKS Katowice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Warta Poznan 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 ŁKS Łódź II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cracovia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Radunia Stężyca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
24 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
25 Elana Toruń 1 0 0 1 -2 0
26 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
27 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
28 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
29 Jastrzębie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
30 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
31 Podbeskidzie II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Rzeszów Pogon Szczecin
24′
R. Kurzawa 0–1
32′
🟨 F. Ulvestad
Half-time 0–1
A. Prokić 🔁
↦ K. Plichta
46′
46′
🔁 A. Przyborek
↦ O. Korczakowski
46′
🔁 V. Bichakhchyan
↦ F. Ulvestad
C. Peña 🔁
↦ T. Bała
59′
71′
E. Koulouris 0–2
A. Gaza 🔁
↦ P. Oleksy
74′
74′
🔁 P. Paryzek
↦ K. Grosicki
80′
🔁 K. Łukasiak
↦ E. Koulouris
B. Piotrowski 🔁
↦ K. Łysiak
84′
I. Postupalskyi 🔁
↦ S. Kądziołka
84′
85′
V. Bichakhchyan 0–3
87′
🔁 M. Wojciechowski
↦ R. Kurzawa
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Stal Rzeszów

J. Raciniewski
P. Oleksy
K. Wachowiak
P. Warczak
M. Synoś
M. Kaczor
S. Thill
S. Kądziołka
K. Łysiak
T. Bała
K. Plichta
Bench (9)
A. Prokić
C. Peña
A. Gaza
B. Piotrowski
I. Postupalskyi
K. Bąkowski
K. Kościelny
K. Paśko
K. Koczera

Coach: M. Zub

Pogon Szczecin

K. Kamiński
B. Zech
L. Wahlqvist
L. Koútris
Léo Borges
K. Grosicki
A. Gorgon
F. Ulvestad
R. Kurzawa
O. Korczakowski
E. Koulouris
Bench (9)
A. Przyborek
V. Bichakhchyan
P. Paryzek
K. Łukasiak
M. Wojciechowski
J. Lis
João Gamboa
V. Cojocaru
W. Lisowski

Coach: R. Kolendowicz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.