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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Cracovia

T S S S T

2–1

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

57%

Points per game

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

71%

29%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,87 xG 1,55

38% Possession 62%

18 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Cracovia 5. · Pogon Szczecin 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+8	+1.3	16
2	Legia	7	4	2	1	+8	+4.5	14
3	Piast Gliwice	7	4	2	1	+3	+0.6	14
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.0	13
5	Cracovia	7	4	1	2	+3	-2.3	13
6	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	+2	+1.4	12
7	Widzew Lodz	8	3	3	2	+1	-3.2	12
8	Rakow	7	3	2	2	+2	+3.7	11
9	GKS Katowice	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.7	9
10	Motor Lublin	7	2	3	2	-2	-2.0	9
11	Zaglebie	7	2	2	3	-2	-0.6	8
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-3	-0.6	8
13	Lechia Gdansk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.5	8
14	Puszcza	7	1	4	2	+0	+1.2	7
15	Radomiak Radom	7	2	0	5	-5	-0.3	6
16	Korona Kielce	7	1	3	3	-5	-4.7	6
17	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	4	2	-4	+2.0	4
18	Stal Mielec	7	1	1	5	-5	+0.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	4	4	0	0	+8	+6.1	12
2	Legia	4	3	0	1	+7	+6.2	9
3	Lech Poznan	3	3	0	0	+6	+1.6	9
4	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+3	+2.3	9
5	Piast Gliwice	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.7	7
6	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
7	Zaglebie	4	2	1	1	+1	+0.0	7
8	Puszcza	4	1	3	0	+3	+2.0	6
9	GKS Katowice	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.4	5
10	Motor Lublin	4	1	2	1	-1	-0.8	5
11	Gornik Zabrze	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.4	4
12	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
13	Stal Mielec	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
14	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.3	4
15	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3
16	Radomiak Radom	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.5	3
17	Korona Kielce	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
18	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	+0.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.9	10
2	Cracovia	4	3	0	1	+4	-0.6	9
3	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.2	7
4	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+0	+1.4	7
5	Legia	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.7	5
6	Widzew Lodz	5	1	2	2	-1	-3.1	5
7	GKS Katowice	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.3	4
8	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.2	4
9	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	1	3	-3	-2.0	4
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.2	4
11	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
12	Korona Kielce	4	0	3	1	-3	-4.0	3
13	Radomiak Radom	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.8	3
14	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.1	1
15	Zaglebie	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.6	1
16	Puszcza	3	0	1	2	-3	-0.7	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.1	1
18	Stal Mielec	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.