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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Szypuła
1–0
Full-time
Puszcza
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Rzeszów Puszcza
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Rzeszów 13. · Puszcza 28.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Warta Poznan 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Carina Gubin 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
8 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Polonia Bytom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
20 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Resovia Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wisla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stal Brzeg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Legia Warszawa II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
34 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Nieciecza 2 0 1 1 -1 1
36 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
37 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 KSZO 1929 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.