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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Pau FC

U S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Lorient

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

60%

20%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 10. · Lorient 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bastia	5	3	2	0	+3	11
2	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Grenoble	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Lorient	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Metz	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Paris FC	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Amiens	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Dunkerque	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Annecy	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Pau FC	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Ajaccio	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Red Star	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Laval	5	1	2	2	+1	5
14	Clermont	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Caen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Rodez	5	1	0	4	-2	3
17	Martigues	5	1	0	4	-7	3
18	Troyes	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Bastia	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Dunkerque	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	Caen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Paris FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Metz	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Laval	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Clermont	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Rodez	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Martigues	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Guingamp	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Annecy	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Laval	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Bastia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Grenoble	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Rodez	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Dunkerque	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Clermont	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Martigues	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Pau FC	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Ajaccio	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Troyes	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.