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Süper Lig

Referee: Yasar Kemal Ugurlu

Erzurumspor

T U T T U

2–4

Full-time

Besiktas

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Besiktas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,8

This season — Süper Lig · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 44%

19%

68%

Points per game

0,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

53%

65%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

52%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

0,9

2,1

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 20. · Besiktas 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	31	21	4	6	+35	67
2	Fenerbahce	32	19	6	7	+24	63
3	Galatasaray	32	19	5	8	+31	62
4	Trabzonspor	33	16	10	7	+9	58
5	Gaziantep	31	13	11	7	+12	50
6	Alanyaspor	32	14	7	11	+15	49
7	Hatayspor	32	14	7	11	+13	49
8	Karagumruk	33	13	10	10	+9	49
9	Sivasspor	32	11	14	7	+6	47
10	Goztep	33	12	10	11	+5	46
11	Antalyaspor	33	9	15	9	-9	42
12	Konyaspor	32	10	10	12	-1	40
13	Ankaragücü	32	10	6	16	-12	36
14	Rizespor	32	8	12	12	-13	36
15	Kasimpasa	32	9	8	15	-13	35
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	31	7	12	12	-6	33
17	Buyuksehyr	32	8	9	15	-16	33
18	Kayserispor	32	8	9	15	-17	33
19	Genclerbirligi	32	8	7	17	-25	31
20	Erzurumspor	32	6	10	16	-22	28
21	Denizlispor	31	6	8	17	-25	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	16	12	2	2	+27	38
2	Gaziantep	16	10	5	1	+16	35
3	Alanyaspor	16	10	3	3	+20	33
4	Galatasaray	16	9	5	2	+23	32
5	Karagumruk	16	10	2	4	+14	32
6	Goztep	16	8	4	4	+12	28
7	Fenerbahce	16	8	2	6	+5	26
8	Ankaragücü	16	8	2	6	+4	26
9	Trabzonspor	16	8	2	6	+2	26
10	Hatayspor	16	7	4	5	+9	25
11	Rizespor	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Konyaspor	16	6	6	4	+4	24
13	Antalyaspor	16	6	6	4	-1	24
14	Kasimpasa	16	7	3	6	-3	24
15	Sivasspor	16	5	7	4	+2	22
16	Yeni Malatyaspor	16	5	6	5	+2	21
17	Buyuksehyr	16	4	6	6	-2	18
18	Denizlispor	16	4	5	7	-5	17
19	Kayserispor	16	4	5	7	-7	17
20	Genclerbirligi	16	4	5	7	-8	17
21	Erzurumspor	16	1	8	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Trabzonspor	17	8	8	1	+7	32
3	Galatasaray	16	10	0	6	+8	30
4	Besiktas	15	9	2	4	+8	29
5	Sivasspor	16	6	7	3	+4	25
6	Hatayspor	16	7	3	6	+4	24
7	Goztep	17	4	6	7	-7	18
8	Antalyaspor	17	3	9	5	-8	18
9	Karagumruk	17	3	8	6	-5	17
10	Erzurumspor	16	5	2	9	-13	17
11	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Alanyaspor	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Gaziantep	15	3	6	6	-4	15
15	Buyuksehyr	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Genclerbirligi	16	4	2	10	-17	14
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	15	2	6	7	-8	12
18	Kasimpasa	16	2	5	9	-10	11
19	Rizespor	16	2	5	9	-15	11
20	Ankaragücü	16	2	4	10	-16	10
21	Denizlispor	15	2	3	10	-20	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.