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Europa League
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Besiktas
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Kauno Žalgiris
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Besiktas Kauno Žalgiris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

77% Possession 23%
6 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 1
15 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
3 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Besiktas Kauno Žalgiris
1–0 Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽
R. Yilmaz
6′
2–0 M. Murillo ⚽
R. Yilmaz
12′
Half-time 2–0
I. Fakili 🔁
↦ V. Cerny
46′
46′
🔁 L. Kastrati
↦ J. Moutachy
46′
🔁 M. Burba
↦ G. Debeljuh
3–0 O. Kokcu ⚽
59′
A. Hadziahmetovic 🔁
↦ J. Olaitan
60′
D. Vlahovic 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
60′
62′
🔁 Renan Oliveira
↦ A. Kalik
63′
🔁 F. Ourega
↦ L. Krekovic
67′
🟨 Franco Baldassarra
68′
🟨 Renan Oliveira
72′
🟨 Anton Tolordava
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
72′
Amir Murillo 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 I. Fiolic
↦ A. Benchaib
K. Ouattara 🔁
↦ R. Yilmaz
81′
82′
🟨 Ivan Fiolić
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
1 A. Nubel G
53 E. Topcu D
62 M. Murillo D
35 T. Djalo D
33 R. Yilmaz D
6 S. Ozcan M
18 V. Cerny M
15 J. Olaitan M
10 O. Kokcu M
19 L. Trossard F
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (12)
80 D. Alemdar
12 E. Agbadou
22 T. Bulut
58 Y. Ozcan
11 K. Ouattara
7 M. Rashica
4 W. Ndidi
5 A. Hadziahmetovic
8 K. Kayra Yilmaz
29 I. Fakili
28 D. Vlahovic
90 S. Kilicsoy

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Kauno Žalgiris

4-2-3-1
55 T. Svedkauskas G
45 J. Moutachy D
3 A. Tolordava D
77 R. Lekiatas D
33 M. Konatar D
14 V. Slivka M
20 A. Kalik M
7 A. Benchaib F
32 F. Baldassarra M
9 L. Krekovic M
27 G. Debeljuh F
Bench (11)
22 D. Mikelionis
23 A. Hernandez
37 N. Iyobosa Edokpolor
17 I. Fiolic
10 G. Sirgedas
8 Y. Karashima
70 F. Ourega
19 Renan Oliveira
62 L. Kastrati
24 M. Burba
15 Leo Ribeiro

Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.