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Super League

Referee: Lukas Fahndrich

Young Boys

U T U S S

3–1

Full-time

Lugano

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 71%

75%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,02 xG 1,80

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Young Boys 7. · Lugano 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	5	4	1	0	+7	-0.9	13
2	St. Gallen	5	4	0	1	+9	+7.2	12
3	Basel	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.5	9
4	Sion	4	2	1	1	+4	-0.8	7
5	Luzern	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.6	7
6	Zurich	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.4	7
7	Young Boys	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.5	5
8	Grasshoppers	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.9	3
9	Lausanne	4	1	0	3	-2	+2.7	3
10	Lugano	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.8	3
11	Winterthur	5	0	2	3	-8	-5.8	2
12	Servette	3	0	1	2	-5	-3.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+5	+3.3	6
2	Basel	2	2	0	0	+4	+5.3	6
3	Young Boys	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.0	4
4	Thun	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.7	4
5	Sion	2	1	0	1	+3	-1.2	3
6	Lugano	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
8	Grasshoppers	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
9	Luzern	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
10	Winterthur	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.2	1
11	Servette	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
12	Zurich	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.8	9
2	Zurich	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.1	7
3	St. Gallen	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.9	6
4	Luzern	2	2	0	0	+2	-1.0	6
5	Sion	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
6	Basel	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.2	3
7	Grasshoppers	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.4	2
8	Young Boys	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.6	1
9	Winterthur	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.5	1
10	Lausanne	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
11	Servette	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.9	0
12	Lugano	1	0	0	1	-4	+0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.