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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Lugano

T U U S S

3–0

Full-time

Young Boys

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

72%

Both score Ø 62%

56%

67%

Average goals

2,7

4,1

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lugano 4. · Young Boys 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	19	13	1	5	+16	+1.2	40
2	St. Gallen	18	11	1	6	+15	+4.2	34
3	Basel	19	9	5	5	+8	+12.3	32
4	Lugano	18	9	3	6	+2	-0.5	30
5	Young Boys	18	8	5	5	+3	+0.6	29
6	Sion	18	7	6	5	+4	+3.4	27
7	Zurich	19	7	3	9	-7	+2.2	24
8	Luzern	19	5	6	8	+0	-3.0	21
9	Lausanne	18	5	6	7	+0	+4.6	21
10	Servette	18	5	5	8	-6	+2.1	20
11	Grasshoppers	18	4	5	9	-8	-12.4	17
12	Winterthur	18	2	4	12	-27	-14.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	10	6	1	3	+7	-1.1	19
2	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
3	Young Boys	9	5	2	2	+8	+7.3	17
4	Lugano	9	5	2	2	+5	+1.6	17
5	Basel	9	4	3	2	+7	+14.0	15
6	Sion	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.3	14
7	Lausanne	10	4	2	4	+3	+7.5	14
8	Zurich	10	4	1	5	-3	+3.9	13
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.0	9
10	Servette	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.8	9
11	Luzern	9	1	4	4	+1	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	7	0	2	+9	+2.3	21
2	Basel	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.7	17
3	St. Gallen	8	5	1	2	+6	-2.3	16
4	Luzern	10	4	2	4	-1	-5.6	14
5	Sion	9	3	4	2	+0	+3.1	13
6	Lugano	9	4	1	4	-3	-2.1	13
7	Young Boys	9	3	3	3	-5	-6.7	12
8	Servette	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.4	11
9	Zurich	9	3	2	4	-4	-1.6	11
10	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-10	-8.3	8
11	Lausanne	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.9	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-19	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.