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Süper Lig
Referee: C Aydın
Antalyaspor
S U U S T
2–1
Full-time
Rizespor
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
32%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,56 xG 1,72
59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 13. · Rizespor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 20 5 0 +36 +22.6 65
2 Fenerbahce 25 19 4 2 +40 +31.7 61
3 Samsunspor 25 14 5 6 +13 +8.1 47
4 Besiktas 24 12 8 4 +15 +12.0 44
5 Eyüpspor 25 11 7 7 +10 -1.1 40
6 Goztep 24 10 6 8 +12 +15.0 36
7 Buyuksehyr 25 10 6 9 +7 +6.6 36
8 Rizespor 25 10 3 12 -9 +4.7 33
9 Trabzonspor 24 8 8 8 +10 -3.1 32
10 Gaziantep 24 9 5 10 -1 -5.3 32
11 Kasimpasa 26 7 11 8 -6 -1.2 32
12 Alanyaspor 25 8 7 10 -7 -0.0 31
13 Antalyaspor 25 8 6 11 -18 -13.2 30
14 Konyaspor 25 7 7 11 -7 -6.8 28
15 Bodrumspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -1.4 27
16 Kayserispor 25 6 9 10 -18 -5.3 27
17 Sivasspor 25 6 6 13 -13 -16.6 24
18 Hatayspor 24 2 7 15 -19 -18.7 13
19 Ad. Demirspor 25 2 4 19 -34 -28.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Rizespor
20′
🟨 Husniddin Alikulov
32′
🔁 E. Bulut
↦ D. Akintola
Half-time 0–0
Veysel Sarı 🟨
47′
58′
A. Sowe 0–1
C. Højer
67′
🔁 M. Buljubašić
↦ D. Varešanović
D. Milošević 🔁
↦ B. Samudio
71′
S. Dikmen 🔁
↦ E. Rakip
71′
76′
🟨 Muhamed Buljubašić
A. Gaich 🔁
↦ B. Balcı
79′
Adolfo Gaich ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
88′
1–1 A. Gaich
90′
92′
🔁 A. Karapo
↦ A. Zeqiri
92′
🔁 M. Pala
↦ I. Olawoyin
2–1 A. Gaich
98′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-2-3-1
13 K. Pirić G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
2 Thalisson Kelven D
77 A. Dursun D
18 J. Kałuziński M
6 E. Rakip M
81 B. Samudio M
8 R. Safouri M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
58 D. Milošević
5 S. Dikmen
9 A. Gaich
4 A. Gërxhaliu
21 A. Yiğiter
16 O. Petrusenko
27 M. Yılmaz
14 E. Uzunhan
88 T. Özmert
33 B. Topdemir

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
1 T. Çetin G
37 T. Şahin D
3 S. Akaydin D
2 H. Aliqulov D
5 C. Højer D
20 B. Özcan M
10 I. Olawoyin M
28 D. Akintola M
8 D. Varešanović M
77 A. Zeqiri M
9 A. Sowe F
Bench (9)
17 E. Bulut
18 M. Buljubašić
45 A. Karapo
54 M. Pala
15 V. Jurečka
30 I. Grbić
95 H. Özbakır
97 D. Avcı
35 E. Doğan

Coach: İ. Palut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,76
U
3,06
B
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Aydın · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.