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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Alanyaspor
S T T S T
1–2
Full-time
Galatasaray
T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 56%
32%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
44%
76%
Both score Ø 60%
52%
68%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 1,94
35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Alanyaspor 13. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 20 5 0 +36 +22.6 65
2 Fenerbahce 25 19 4 2 +40 +31.7 61
3 Samsunspor 26 15 5 6 +14 +10.7 50
4 Besiktas 24 12 8 4 +15 +12.0 44
5 Eyüpspor 26 12 7 7 +11 +0.1 43
6 Goztep 25 10 6 9 +10 +14.2 36
7 Buyuksehyr 25 10 6 9 +7 +6.6 36
8 Rizespor 26 10 3 13 -10 +3.8 33
9 Antalyaspor 26 9 6 11 -17 -12.3 33
10 Trabzonspor 25 8 8 9 +9 -1.3 32
11 Gaziantep 24 9 5 10 -1 -5.3 32
12 Kasimpasa 26 7 11 8 -6 -1.2 32
13 Alanyaspor 25 8 7 10 -7 -0.0 31
14 Konyaspor 26 7 7 12 -8 -8.0 28
15 Sivasspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -15.8 27
16 Bodrumspor 26 7 6 13 -11 -1.4 27
17 Kayserispor 25 6 9 10 -18 -5.3 27
18 Hatayspor 25 3 7 15 -18 -20.5 16
19 Ad. Demirspor 26 2 4 20 -35 -30.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
-5′
🟥 Günay Güvenç
1–0 T. Vilhena
F. Hadergjonaj
23′
26′
🟨 Barış Alper Yılmaz
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Mario Lemina
46′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ M. Lemina
51′
F. Aliti 2–0
own goal
52′
🟨 Eren Elmalı
57′
🟨 Fernando Muslera
62′
V. Osimhen 2–1
B. Yılmaz
Hwang Ui-Jo 🔁
↦ S. Córdova
72′
72′
🔁 R. Sallai
↦ E. Elmalı
Fidan Aliti 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Álvaro Morata
79′
🔁 K. Ayhan
↦ Álvaro Morata
Nuno Lima 🟨
82′
A. Usluoğlu 🔁
↦ A. Šporar
84′
N. Janvier 🔁
↦ F. Aksoy
84′
86′
🟨 Roland Sallai
90′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ Gabriel Sara
90′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ V. Osimhen
93′
🟨 Ahmed Kutucu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

5-3-2
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadergjonaj D
20 F. Aksoy D
3 Nuno Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
88 Y. Özdemir D
42 G. Makouta M
25 Richard M
52 T. Vilhena M
9 S. Córdova F
10 A. Šporar F
Bench (10)
16 Hwang Ui-Jo
15 A. Usluoğlu
17 N. Janvier
29 J. Balkovec
99 Y. Karagöz
8 E. Keskin
4 U. Toy
2 B. Yavuz
7 E. Karaca
23 M. Bayram

Coach: S. Uğurlu

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
29 P. Frankowski D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
17 E. Elmalı D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
20 Gabriel Sara M
77 Álvaro Morata M
53 B. Yılmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (10)
11 Y. Akgün
7 R. Sallai
23 K. Ayhan
8 K. Demirbay
21 A. Kutucu
24 E. Jelert
26 C. Cuesta
10 D. Mertens
19 G. Güvenç
18 B. Kutlu

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,59
U
4,10
B ✓
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.