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Super League
Referee: M Al Hakim
AEK
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 60%
69%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
46%
42%
Both score Ø 44%
46%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 14 10 2 2 +24 32
2 Panathinaikos 14 10 1 3 +26 31
3 PAOK 14 9 3 2 +19 30
4 AEK 13 9 3 1 +14 30
5 Aris Thessalonikis 12 6 2 4 +4 20
6 Aris 13 6 2 5 +3 20
7 Lamia 14 5 4 5 -8 19
8 OFI Crete 14 4 6 4 -5 18
9 Asteras Tripolis 14 5 2 7 -6 17
10 Atromitos 14 3 6 5 -8 15
11 Panserraikos 14 3 4 7 -12 13
12 Volos NFC 14 2 5 7 -12 11
13 Kifisia 14 1 6 7 -14 9
14 Panetolikos 14 2 3 9 -15 9
15 Giannina 14 1 5 8 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Aris Thessalonikis
24′
🟨 Vladimír Darida
Domagoj Vida 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 D. Moberg Karlsson
↦ M. Panagidis
1–0 D. Vida
P. Mantalos
59′
63′
🔁 Rubén Pardo
↦ N. Đurasek
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
64′
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
64′
R. Pizarro 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
65′
Zini 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
78′
81′
🔁 Á. Zamora
↦ M. Suleymanov
81′
🔁 J. Menéndez
↦ V. Darida
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
29 D. Sidibé D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
13 O. Pineda M
4 D. Szymański M
19 N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos M
8 M. Gaćinović M
10 S. Zuber F
Bench (9)
5 N. Amrabat
14 E. Ponce
70 R. Pizarro
90 Zini
37 V. Radonja
3 Milad Mohammadi
24 G. Mitoglou
12 L. Rota
39 P. Ginis

Coach: M. Almeyda

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
33 Martín Montoya D
30 J. Jules M
20 N. Đurasek M
93 M. Suleymanov M
16 V. Darida M
77 M. Panagidis M
80 Loren Morón F
Bench (9)
32 D. Moberg Karlsson
21 Rubén Pardo
12 Á. Zamora
27 J. Menéndez
18 Valentino Fattore
8 C. Doukouré
7 L. Christodoulopoulos
94 L. Choutesiotis
11 K. Saverio

Coach: A. Mantzios

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.