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Europa League
Referee: G Nyberg
AEK
S S T S U
0–2
Full-time
Marseille
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,7
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,02 xG 2,26
54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Oct -23 Marseille – AEK 3–1

Match report

AEK Marseille
25′
⚽ C. Mbemba 0–1
J. Clauss
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–1
48′
🟨 Vitinha
59′
🔁 I. Sarr
↦ J. Correa
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ L. García
63′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
63′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
63′
Ezequiel Ponce 🟨
66′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
76′
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
81′
86′
🔁 A. Murillo
↦ I. Ndiaye
93′
⚽ I. Sarr 0–2
J. Veretout
95′
🔁 B. Nadir
↦ J. Clauss
95′
🔁 E. Soglo
↦ A. Harit
96′
🔁 S. Gigot
↦ J. Veretout
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-1-4-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
29 D. Sidibé D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
4 D. Szymański M
5 N. Amrabat M
20 P. Mantalos M
13 O. Pineda M
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. García F
Bench (10)
14 E. Ponce
11 S. Araújo
10 S. Zuber
19 N. Eliasson
25 K. Galanopoulos
99 G. Theocharis
24 G. Mitoglou
70 R. Pizarro
3 M. Mohammadi
39 P. Ginis

Coach: M. Almeyda

Marseille

4-4-2
16 Pau López G
7 J. Clauss D
99 C. Mbemba D
5 L. Balerdi D
12 Renan Lodi D
29 I. Ndiaye M
19 G. Kondogbia M
27 J. Veretout M
20 J. Correa M
11 A. Harit F
9 Vítinha F
Bench (10)
23 I. Sarr
62 A. Murillo
34 B. Nadir
37 E. Soglo
4 S. Gigot
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
36 Rubén Blanco
18 B. Meïté
45 P. Sciortino
33 A. Tunkadi

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.