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Super League
Referee: K Tsetsilas
AEK
S T S U T
3–0
Full-time
Lamia
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Lamia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 53%
60%
45%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 4. · Lamia 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 10 8 1 1 +25 25
2 Olympiakos 11 8 1 2 +20 25
3 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
4 AEK 10 6 3 1 +9 21
5 Lamia 11 5 3 3 -2 18
6 Aris Thessalonikis 11 5 2 4 +2 17
7 Aris 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 OFI Crete 12 4 5 3 -1 17
9 Panserraikos 11 3 4 4 -5 13
10 Atromitos 12 3 4 5 -8 13
11 Asteras Tripolis 11 3 2 6 -7 11
12 Kifisia 11 1 6 4 -8 9
13 Giannina 12 1 4 7 -9 7
14 Volos NFC 11 1 3 7 -13 6
15 Panetolikos 12 1 3 8 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Lamia
1–0 L. García
S. Araújo
11′
18′
🟨 Rubén Martínez
2–0 S. Araújo
D. Vida
36′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Z. Tošić
↦ Sidcley
46′
🔁 T. Tzandaris
↦ S. Tsiloulis
Sergio Araujo 🟨
52′
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
61′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ D. Sidibé
62′
R. Pizarro 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
69′
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
69′
E. Ponce 🔁
↦ L. García
70′
73′
🔁 S. Longo
↦ Rubén Martínez
74′
🔁 F. Malçi
↦ Carlitos
S. Pilios 🔁
↦ Milad Mohammadi
77′
83′
🔁 K. Tsilianidis
↦ V. Slivka
84′
🟨 Samuele Longo
Damian Szymański 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Kyriakos Papadopoulos
3–0 P. Mantalos
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-4-2
1 C. Stanković G
29 D. Sidibé D
21 D. Vida D
18 A. Callens D
3 Milad Mohammadi D
19 N. Eliasson M
13 O. Pineda M
4 D. Szymański M
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. García F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
20 P. Mantalos
70 R. Pizarro
10 S. Zuber
14 E. Ponce
17 S. Pilios
24 G. Mitoglou
2 H. Moukoudi
30 G. Athanasiadis
9 T. van Weert

Coach: M. Almeyda

Lamia

4-3-3
55 A. Koşelev G
15 David Simón D
20 K. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Tzanetopoulos D
16 Sidcley D
21 Omar Santana M
14 V. Slivka M
24 Pedro Amaral M
11 Rubén Martínez F
23 S. Tsiloulis F
10 Carlitos F
Bench (9)
18 Z. Tošić
6 T. Tzandaris
9 S. Longo
19 F. Malçi
12 K. Tsilianidis
33 G. Kornezos
17 V. Chatziemmanouil
27 C. Stanko
22 A. Pavlovets

Coach: L. Vokolos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,20
U
6,42
B
11,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Tsetsilas · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.