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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Livingston
T U T T T
2–2
Full-time
Ross County
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 15%
9%
20%
Points per game
0,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
36%
40%
Both score Ø 33%
41%
25%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
0,6
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Ross County 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 18 3 2 +39 57
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
7 Dundee 20 6 7 7 -4 25
8 Aberdeen 20 6 5 9 -9 23
9 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
10 ST Johnstone 22 4 9 9 -14 21
11 Ross County 20 4 6 10 -13 18
12 Livingston 22 2 6 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -23 Ross County – Livingston 1–1 6. May -23 Ross County – Livingston 2–0 18. Mar -23 Livingston – Ross County 2–1 7. Jan -23 Ross County – Livingston 0–2 8. Oct -22 Livingston – Ross County 0–1

Match report

Livingston Ross County
James Penrice 🟨
24′
28′
⚽ S. Murray 0–1
Y. Dhanda
30′
ℹ️ Simon Murray
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 S. Pittman ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–1
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ K. Guthrie
46′
54′
🔁 J. Sims
↦ V. Loturi
54′
🔁 J. White
↦ B. Khela
69′
🟨 William Nightingale
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
72′
D. Mackay 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
75′
85′
⚽ S. Murray 1–2
J. White
87′
🟨 Simon Murray
2–2 D. Mackay ⚽
J. Holt
88′
T. Yengi 🔁
↦ J. Holt
89′
89′
🔁 M. Sheaf
↦ Y. Dhanda
89′
🔁 G. Harmon
↦ S. Murray
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
23 M. McGovern G
12 J. Brandon D
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
29 J. Penrice D
18 J. Holt M
22 A. Shinnie M
16 S. Bradley M
8 S. Pittman M
19 J. Nouble M
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
9 B. Anderson
10 S. Kelly
11 D. Mackay
33 T. Yengi
2 S. Donnellan
20 M. Sangare
40 S. Lawal
36 S. Culbert
1 S. George

Coach: D. Martindale

Ross County

4-5-1
40 G. Wickens G
4 J. Brown D
28 L. Ayina D
35 W. Nightingale D
3 C. Borthwick-Jackson D
19 B. Khela M
21 T. Jenks M
18 E. King M
14 V. Loturi M
10 Y. Dhanda M
15 S. Murray F
Bench (8)
11 J. Sims
26 J. White
12 M. Sheaf
16 G. Harmon
27 E. Brophy
43 J. Reid
17 J. Henderson
1 R. Laidlaw

Coach: D. Adams

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
🔒
U ✓
3,06
🔒
B
3,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,48
🔒
U2,5
1,52
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.