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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Aberdeen
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Dundee
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
65%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Dundee 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 18 3 2 +39 57
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
7 Dundee 20 6 7 7 -4 25
8 Aberdeen 20 6 5 9 -9 23
9 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
10 ST Johnstone 22 4 9 9 -14 21
11 Ross County 21 4 7 10 -13 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -22 Aberdeen – Dundee 1–0 2. Apr -22 Dundee – Aberdeen 2–2 26. Dec -21 Aberdeen – Dundee 2–1 16. Oct -21 Dundee – Aberdeen 2–1

Match report

Aberdeen Dundee
17′
🟨 Owen Dodgson
23′
🟨 Malachi Boateng
1–0 B. Miovski ⚽
31′
Jamie McGrath 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Mulligan
↦ M. Sylla
55′
⚽ L. Ashcroft 1–1
O. Beck
P. Guèye 🔁
↦ E. Sokler
67′
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ J. MacKenzie
67′
68′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ Z. Robinson
68′
🔁 D. Costelloe
↦ J. McGhee
72′
🔁 C. Main
↦ A. Bakayoko
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ J. Milne
75′
Richard Jensen 🟨
78′
S. Morris 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
87′
90′
🟨 Owen Beck
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-4-1-2
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
27 A. MacDonald D
5 R. Jensen D
28 J. Milne M
10 L. Clarkson M
4 G. Shinnie M
3 J. MacKenzie M
7 J. McGrath F
9 B. Miovski F
19 E. Sokler F
Bench (8)
14 P. Guèye
23 R. Duncan
18 K. Phillips
20 S. Morris
17 J. Hayes
21 D. Polvara
8 C. Barron
31 R. Doohan

Coach: B. Robson

Dundee

5-3-2
31 T. Carson G
6 J. McGhee D
14 L. Ashcroft D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
3 O. Dodgson D
63 O. Beck D
10 L. Cameron M
23 M. Boateng M
28 M. Sylla M
16 Z. Robinson F
9 A. Bakayoko F
Bench (8)
15 J. Mulligan
7 S. Tiffoney
44 D. Costelloe
8 C. Main
4 R. Astley
19 F. Robertson
1 A. Legzdiņš
30 H. Sharp

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
🔒
U ✓
3,72
🔒
B
4,82
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,86
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,92
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.