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Pro League
Referee: B Put
Westerlo
S S U S T
4–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Westerlo Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 16/13 matches
Win Ø 51%
25%
77%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
75%
46%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
46%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

2,63 xG 0,92
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Westerlo 10. · Cercle Brugge 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 14 12 1 1 +21 +15.4 37
2 Club Brugge 16 10 3 3 +27 +27.4 33
3 Cercle Brugge 13 10 1 2 +15 +13.8 31
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +13 +9.5 28
5 Antwerp 14 6 6 2 +20 +15.1 24
6 Genk 13 6 5 2 +17 +19.0 23
7 Gent 13 6 5 2 +7 +7.2 23
8 Mechelen 14 5 3 6 -1 -1.4 18
9 Standard 15 4 6 5 -6 -9.9 18
10 Westerlo 16 4 4 8 -7 -9.0 16
11 RWD Molenbeek 17 4 4 9 -21 -20.9 16
12 St Truiden 14 3 6 5 -8 -5.7 15
13 Charleroi 18 3 5 10 -15 -11.7 14
14 Kortrijk 18 3 3 12 -28 -17.4 12
15 Eupen 17 3 2 12 -23 -25.3 11
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 2 4 9 -11 -5.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Westerlo Cercle Brugge
1–0 G. Yow
T. Rommens
7′
2–0 G. Yow
19′
3–0 N. Madsen
T. Rommens
22′
4–0 R. Vermant
31′
33′
S. Sydorchuk 5–0
own goal
44′
🟨 Flávio Nazinho
Half-time 5–0
M. Fixelles 🔁
↦ R. Neustädter
46′
46′
🔁 K. Olaigbe
↦ J. Lietaert
46′
🔁 M. Efekele
↦ N. De Wilde
46′
🔁 B. Popović
↦ E. Utkus
58′
🟨 Félix Lemaréchal
59′
🟨 Jesper Daland
M. Frigan 🔁
↦ R. Vermant
61′
62′
🟨 Malamine Efekele
65′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Tuur Rommens 🟥
69′
71′
🔁 Felipe Augusto
↦ A. Minda
E. Jordanov 🔁
↦ G. Yow
74′
D. Haspolat 🔁
↦ N. Madsen
74′
Doğucan Haspolat 🟨
78′
Matija Frigan 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 Leonardo Lopes
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
N. Chadli 🔁
↦ T. Van den Keybus
86′
94′
Flávio Nazinho 5–1
Leonardo Lopes
95′
ℹ️ Flávio Nazinho
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
40 E. Bayram D
25 T. Rommens D
15 S. Sydorchuk M
46 A. Piedfort M
18 G. Yow M
8 N. Madsen M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
17 R. Vermant F
Bench (9)
4 M. Fixelles
9 M. Frigan
32 E. Jordanov
6 D. Haspolat
89 N. Chadli
3 B. Haidara
20 N. Gillekens
13 D. Mebude
21 E. Daci

Coach: R. De Mil

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Warleson G
76 J. Lietaert D
3 E. Utkus D
4 J. Daland D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
27 N. De Wilde M
34 T. Somers M
6 F. Lemaréchal M
11 A. Minda M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (9)
19 K. Olaigbe
7 M. Efekele
5 B. Popović
10 Felipe Augusto
22 Leonardo Lopes
77 J. Semedo Varela
18 S. Miangué
21 M. Delanghe
99 Abdoul Ouattara

Coach: M. Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,97
U
3,71
B
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.