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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Hearts
T T S S S
2–2
Full-time
Ross County
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Ross County
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
53%
24%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
26%
35%
Both score Ø 25%
26%
24%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Ross County 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 19 14 1 4 +28 43
3 Hearts 19 10 2 7 +5 32
4 Kilmarnock 20 8 6 6 +3 30
5 St Mirren 20 7 5 8 -4 26
6 Hibernian 19 6 6 7 -3 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Sep -23 Ross County – Hearts 0–1 22. Apr -23 Hearts – Ross County 6–1 30. Oct -22 Ross County – Hearts 1–2 30. Jul -22 Hearts – Ross County 2–1 30. Apr -22 Hearts – Ross County 0–0

Match report

Hearts Ross County
Nathaniel Atkinson 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Oda 🔁
↦ K. Tagawa
46′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ A. Denholm
46′
Alan Forrest 🟨
51′
55′
⚽ A. Cochrane 1–0
own goal
61′
⚽ Y. Dhanda 1–1
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ A. Lowry
62′
S. Kingsley 🔁
↦ C. Halkett
62′
69′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ S. Murray
2–1 K. Vargas ⚽
71′
78′
🔁 G. Harmon
↦ B. Purrington
3–1 L. Shankland ⚽
C. Nieuwenhof
79′
81′
🟨 Josh Sims
82′
🔁 K. Turner
↦ J. White
82′
🔁 V. Loturi
↦ J. Sims
97′
🟨 Ryan Leak
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
2 F. Kent D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
13 N. Atkinson M
22 A. Denholm M
51 A. Lowry M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
30 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Oda
17 A. Forrest
77 K. Vargas
3 S. Kingsley
5 P. Haring
24 F. Pollock
1 C. Gordon
21 T. Sibbick
25 M. Tait

Coach: S. Naismith

Ross County

4-4-2
1 R. Laidlaw G
4 J. Brown D
5 J. Baldwin D
42 R. Leak D
3 B. Purrington D
10 Y. Dhanda M
12 M. Sheaf M
6 S. Allardice M
11 J. Sims M
26 J. White F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (8)
27 E. Brophy
16 G. Harmon
7 K. Turner
14 V. Loturi
21 R. Munro
43 J. Reid
25 A. Samuel
17 J. Henderson

Coach: D. Adams

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
🔒
U ✓
3,71
🔒
B
4,93
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,99
🔒
U2,5
1,80
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.