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DFB-Pokal

Referee: S Stegemann

St Pauli

S U U S S

2–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — DFB-Pokal · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,3

5,3

Scored

3,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 3. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	3	3	0	0	+13	9
2	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	St Pauli	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Kaiserslautern	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	FC Saarbrücken	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+8	7
9	Nurnberg	3	2	0	1	+7	6
10	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+7	6
11	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
12	Wolfsburg	3	2	0	1	+6	6
13	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	FC 08 Homburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
15	Hamburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Magdeburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
19	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	FC Viktoria Koln	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
31	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Hansa Rostock	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Saarbrücken	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	FC 08 Homburg	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	FC Viktoria Koln	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
32	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
33	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
34	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
35	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
36	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
37	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
38	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
39	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
40	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
41	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
42	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
43	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
44	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+11	6
3	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Paderborn	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
6	Hamburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Magdeburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
10	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+6	3
11	Wolfsburg	2	1	0	1	+5	3
12	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.