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Süper Lig
Referee: A Şansalan
Ümraniyespor
T T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ümraniyespor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
6 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ümraniyespor 19. · Alanyaspor 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 11 8 2 1 +22 26
2 Buyuksehyr 11 7 2 2 +11 23
3 Ad. Demirspor 12 6 5 1 +10 23
4 Besiktas 12 6 4 2 +9 22
5 Galatasaray 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
7 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
8 Kayserispor 12 6 2 4 +5 20
9 Alanyaspor 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Gaziantep 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Kasimpasa 12 4 2 6 -11 14
12 Antalyaspor 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
14 Ankaragücü 11 3 2 6 -5 11
15 Sivasspor 12 2 4 6 -5 10
16 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
17 Giresunspor 11 2 3 6 -9 9
18 İstanbulspor 11 2 2 7 -12 8
19 Ümraniyespor 11 0 3 8 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ümraniyespor Alanyaspor
7′
🟨 Leroy Fer
1–0 U. Nayir
Y. Del Valle
21′
Isaac Sackey ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
23′
2–0 Geraldo
38′
42′
🟨 Furkan Bayir
Half-time 2–0
Onur Atasayar 🟨
50′
56′
🔁 U. Güneş
↦ L. Fer
56′
🔁 Candeias
↦ Wilson Eduardo
56′
Wilson Eduardo 2–1
A. Bettaieb 🔁
↦ Y. Del Valle
67′
K. Yılmaz 🔁
↦ S. Göksu
68′
3–1 U. Nayir
69′
O. Ayık 🔁
↦ Geraldo
73′
A. Mršić 🔁
↦ D. Avounou
73′
73′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ F. Bayır
73′
🔁 Ivan Cavaleiro
↦ O. Aydın
77′
🔁 A. Gülay
↦ J. Balkovec
E. Lenjani 🔁
↦ O. Atasayar
78′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3
13 O. Özdemir G
90 S. Popov D
33 Allyson D
44 T. Glumac D
16 O. Atasayar D
8 S. Göksu M
5 I. Sackey M
14 D. Avounou M
29 Geraldo F
18 U. Nayir F
28 Y. Del Valle F
Bench (10)
27 A. Bettaieb
41 K. Yılmaz
11 O. Ayık
39 A. Mršić
3 E. Lenjani
4 M. Eser
20 O. Gürbulak
7 V. Gheorghe
34 A. Demir
10 M. Mimaroğlu

Coach: R. Uçar

Alanyaspor

4-3-3
13 R. Rúnarsson G
27 Pedro Pereira D
4 F. Bayır D
20 F. Aksoy D
29 J. Balkovec D
7 E. Karaca M
98 I. Doumbia M
8 L. Fer M
70 O. Aydın F
93 Koka F
17 Wilson Eduardo F
Bench (10)
6 U. Güneş
21 Candeias
23 J. Rassoul
19 Ivan Cavaleiro
3 A. Gülay
39 K. Erciyas
14 F. Diédhiou
97 A. Lusamba
18 O. Targhalline
99 Y. Karagöz

Coach: F. Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,55
B
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Şansalan · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.