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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Kayserispor
S T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
This season — Süper Lig · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 46%
27%
64%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kayserispor 8. · Ad. Demirspor 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 10 7 2 1 +19 23
2 Ad. Demirspor 11 6 4 1 +10 22
3 Galatasaray 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Trabzonspor 11 6 3 2 +3 21
5 Buyuksehyr 10 6 2 2 +9 20
6 Konyaspor 12 5 5 2 +6 20
7 Besiktas 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Kayserispor 11 6 1 4 +5 19
9 Alanyaspor 12 4 4 4 -3 16
10 Gaziantep 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Kasimpasa 12 4 2 6 -11 14
12 Karagumruk 11 3 3 5 -1 12
13 Ankaragücü 11 3 2 6 -5 11
14 Sivasspor 11 2 4 5 -3 10
15 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -6 10
16 Hatayspor 11 3 1 7 -11 10
17 Giresunspor 10 2 3 5 -7 9
18 İstanbulspor 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Ümraniyespor 10 0 3 7 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kayserispor Ad. Demirspor
Ramazan Civelek 🟨
8′
12′
P. N'Diaye 0–1
Y. Belhanda
Bernard Mensah 🟨
26′
38′
🟨 Badou Ndiaye
40′
ℹ️ Babajide David Akintola
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Half-time 0–1
Miguel Cardoso 🔁
↦ O. Kemen
58′
G. Sazdağı 🔁
↦ R. Civelek
59′
61′
🔁 Y. Sarı
↦ D. Akintola
61′
🔁 F. Gulbrandsen
↦ E. Akbaba
65′
H. Onyekuru 0–2
1–2 M. Gavranović
Miguel Cardoso
67′
E. Başsan 🔁
↦ A. Karimi
72′
Carlos Mané 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
73′
76′
🟨 Henry Onyekuru
Majid Hosseini 🟨
78′
79′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ H. Onyekuru
2–2 Miguel Cardoso
E. Başsan
82′
87′
🔁 G. İnler
↦ B. Stambouli
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ M. Gavranović
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kayserispor

4-1-4-1
25 B. Bayazıt G
38 O. Bulut D
6 A. Karimi D
5 M. Hosseini D
21 L. Carole D
88 Gustavo Campanharo M
28 R. Civelek M
10 O. Kemen M
43 B. Mensah M
27 M. Thiam M
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
7 Miguel Cardoso
11 G. Sazdağı
17 E. Başsan
20 Carlos Mané
9 M. Pektemek
23 İ. Parlak
91 A. Bertolacci
4 D. Kolovetsios
22 H. Erkip
12 A. Taşdan

Coach: Ç. Atan

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
25 E. Özbir G
22 J. Svensson D
5 S. Akaydin D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
20 E. Akbaba M
7 H. Onyekuru M
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
26 Y. Sarı
23 F. Gulbrandsen
9 B. Assombalonga
88 G. İnler
3 A. Dursun
8 Birkir Bjarnason
39 V. Karakuş
30 G. Töre
16 İ. Çokçalış
15 J. Manev

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U ✓
3,47
B
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.